The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. McKinstry, Zach in signal, the comp in amber.
DET · bats L · 267 PA
Ranked comps for McKinstry, Zach
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Keaschall, Luke MIN · R · 375 PA | 0.70 | Bat speedWalk rateFly-ball rate | Hard-hit rate +1.4zChase rate -1.1zGround-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 219 PA | 0.68 | Isolated powerPull rateWalk rate | Swing length +1.7zFly-ball rate -1.2zMax exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Palacios, Richie TB · L · 238 PA | 0.68 | Isolated powerBat speedPull rate | Fly-ball rate -1.5zSwing length +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 307 PA | 0.65 | Pull rateBat speedWhiff rate | Hard-hit rate +1.4zSprint speed -1.4zSwing length +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Hoerner, Nico CHC · R · 438 PA | 0.62 | Bat speedMax exit velocityIsolated power | Swing length +1.4zStrikeout rate -1.4zPull rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Friedl, TJ CIN · L · 229 PA | 0.58 | Avg exit velocityIsolated powerBarrel rate | Whiff rate +1.6zHard-hit rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Martin, Austin MIN · R · 284 PA | 0.57 | Strikeout rateSprint speedBarrel rate | Chase rate -1.8zWalk rate +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Walls, Taylor TB · L · 273 PA | 0.55 | Max exit velocitySprint speedBarrel rate | In-zone contact -1.9zWhiff rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Frelick, Sal MIL · L · 331 PA | 0.55 | Isolated powerPull ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate -2.2zFly-ball rate -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Marsee, Jakob MIA · L · 400 PA | 0.55 | Sprint speedIsolated powerBarrel rate | Max exit velocity +1.7zHard-hit rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Edwards, Xavier MIA · L · 421 PA | 0.55 | Whiff rateSprint speedBat speed | Oppo rate +1.7zPull rate -1.3zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 339 PA | 0.54 | Chase rateBarrel rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate -1.9zFly-ball rate -1.8zHard-hit rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.