Mithrandir Metrics
The Mirror live sim Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Heads up The Mirror is being actively tuned right now. Some live figures may lag or look off while we work through a few issues, so treat numbers here as provisional. Full accuracy back shortly.
The Mirror / 2026-09-26 beta

It shows things that were, things that are, and things that yet may be.

The Mirror’s record: every call graded →

Batter-by-batter Monte Carlo: each plate appearance is a real matchup probability, played through a full base-out state machine with starter fatigue and bullpen chains. Validated against 358 completed games before launch.

PIT @ DET2026-09-26 · 8,000 sims
PIT 49.4%DET 50.6%
Yates, Kirby vs Verlander, Justin
mean 4.89–4.77 · total 9.66 · NRFI 48%
NYM @ WSH2026-09-26 · 8,000 sims
NYM 49.3%WSH 50.7%
Tong, Jonah vs Early, Connelly
mean 4.05–3.89 · total 7.93 · NRFI 58%
CIN @ TOR2026-09-26 · 8,000 sims
CIN 38.1%TOR 61.9%
Lowder, Rhett vs Yesavage, Trey
mean 3.73–4.59 · total 8.32 · NRFI 53%
LAD @ SF2026-09-26 · 8,000 sims
LAD 64.3%SF 35.7%
Snell, Blake vs Wilkinson, Matt
mean 4.11–2.62 · total 6.73 · NRFI 62%
TEX @ MIN2026-09-26 · 8,000 sims
TEX 45.5%MIN 54.5%
Eovaldi, Nathan vs Ober, Bailey
mean 3.8–3.97 · total 7.77 · NRFI 56%
ATL @ MIA2026-09-26 · 8,000 sims
ATL 48.4%MIA 51.6%
Suter, Brent vs Ralston, Jack
mean 3.99–3.99 · total 7.98 · NRFI 50%
TB @ PHI2026-09-26 · 8,000 sims
TB 60.2%PHI 39.8%
Jax, Griffin vs Nola, Aaron
mean 5.18–3.9 · total 9.07 · NRFI 50%
STL @ MIL2026-09-26 · 8,000 sims
STL 38.0%MIL 62.0%
Mathews, Quinn vs May, Dustin
mean 4.0–4.82 · total 8.83 · NRFI 51%
CLE @ KC2026-09-26 · 8,000 sims
CLE 41.4%KC 58.6%
Bibee, Tanner vs Wacha, Michael
mean 3.97–4.53 · total 8.5 · NRFI 56%
COL @ CWS2026-09-26 · 8,000 sims
COL 36.5%CWS 63.5%
Quintana, Jose vs Martin, Davis
mean 4.08–5.21 · total 9.29 · NRFI 49%
LAA @ SEA2026-09-26 · 8,000 sims
LAA 37.7%SEA 62.3%
Johnson, Ryan vs Anderson, Kade
mean 3.56–4.51 · total 8.07 · NRFI 54%
AZ @ SD2026-09-26 · 8,000 sims
AZ 56.8%SD 43.2%
Clarke, Taylor vs Buehler, Walker
mean 4.49–3.67 · total 8.16 · NRFI 56%
HOU @ ATH2026-09-26 · 8,000 sims
HOU 63.3%ATH 36.7%
Wesneski, Hayden vs Perkins, Jack
mean 5.11–3.7 · total 8.82 · NRFI 51%