Heads up
The Mirror is being actively tuned right now. Some live figures may lag or look off while we work through a few issues, so treat numbers here as provisional. Full accuracy back shortly.
The Mirror / 2026-09-26 beta
COL 9, CWS 6. Final.
The Mirror’s record: every call graded →
Batter-by-batter Monte Carlo: each plate appearance is a real matchup probability, played through a full base-out state machine with starter fatigue and bullpen chains. Validated against 358 completed games before launch.
Final
COL 9, CWS 6
The final result has replaced the last live pitch state. Published 04:34:54Z UTC · back to slate
9 – 6final score
15total runs
63% → 0%CWS win prob, pregame → final
Pregame baseline
Colorado Rockies @ Chicago White Sox
Quintana, Jose vs Martin, Davis · engine 0.1.13 · back to slate
COL 36.5%CWS 63.5%
4.08 – 5.21mean score
9.29mean total
49%NRFI
9.0%extra innings
4.34 / 5.02starter K means
Run distributions
Total runs across 8,000 sims
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Hover a bar for the probability of that exact total.
Team run distributions
COL (gold) vs CWS (cyan)
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Paired bars per run count.
Projected batting lines
COL per-game means
| Batter | PA | H | HR | TB | BB | K | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McCarthy, Jake | 4.779 | 1.354 | 0.081 | 1.964 | 0.27 | 0.899 | 0.404 |
| Carrigg, Cole | 4.661 | 1.164 | 0.092 | 1.741 | 0.373 | 1.198 | 0.458 |
| Goodman, Hunter | 4.551 | 1.041 | 0.188 | 1.924 | 0.363 | 1.418 | 0.632 |
| Rumfield, TJ | 4.443 | 1.156 | 0.075 | 1.624 | 0.446 | 0.737 | 0.486 |
| Norby, Connor | 4.338 | 0.99 | 0.07 | 1.415 | 0.405 | 1.273 | 0.423 |
| Amador, Adael | 4.24 | 1.001 | 0.115 | 1.594 | 0.378 | 0.837 | 0.497 |
| Moniak, Mickey | 4.13 | 0.887 | 0.124 | 1.507 | 0.229 | 1.21 | 0.478 |
| Sullivan, Brett | 4.019 | 0.897 | 0.084 | 1.371 | 0.251 | 0.802 | 0.404 |
| Tovar, Ezequiel | 3.898 | 0.789 | 0.065 | 1.14 | 0.259 | 1.095 | 0.301 |
Projected batting lines
CWS per-game means
| Batter | PA | H | HR | TB | BB | K | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vargas, Miguel | 4.749 | 1.228 | 0.197 | 2.148 | 0.591 | 0.778 | 0.656 |
| Pham, Tommy | 4.636 | 1.123 | 0.144 | 1.772 | 0.463 | 1.031 | 0.566 |
| Grichuk, Randal | 4.525 | 1.377 | 0.184 | 2.342 | 0.254 | 0.872 | 0.746 |
| Murakami, Munetaka | 4.411 | 0.978 | 0.239 | 1.968 | 0.639 | 1.334 | 0.714 |
| Doyle, Brenton | 4.305 | 1.214 | 0.084 | 1.699 | 0.28 | 1.084 | 0.538 |
| Teel, Kyle | 4.198 | 1.031 | 0.123 | 1.627 | 0.429 | 1.111 | 0.539 |
| Antonacci, Sam | 4.094 | 1.241 | 0.059 | 1.665 | 0.305 | 0.57 | 0.511 |
| Acuña, Luisangel | 3.983 | 1.048 | 0.043 | 1.317 | 0.228 | 0.711 | 0.408 |
| Peters, Tristan | 3.864 | 1.104 | 0.09 | 1.639 | 0.275 | 0.658 | 0.53 |
One representative simulation
A median-outcome game, batter by batter
This is the play-by-play of one sim whose final total matched the median across all runs — a preview of the most typical version of tonight.
— Top 1 —
McCarthy, Jake vs Martin, Davis: OUT GB
Carrigg, Cole vs Martin, Davis: K
Goodman, Hunter vs Martin, Davis: OUT GB
— Bottom 1 —
Vargas, Miguel vs Quintana, Jose: 1B
Pham, Tommy vs Quintana, Jose: OUT GB
Grichuk, Randal vs Quintana, Jose: OUT AIR
Murakami, Munetaka vs Quintana, Jose: OUT GB
— Top 2 —
Rumfield, TJ vs Martin, Davis: 2B
Norby, Connor vs Martin, Davis: BB
Amador, Adael vs Martin, Davis: OUT AIR
Moniak, Mickey vs Martin, Davis: K
Sullivan, Brett vs Martin, Davis: K
— Bottom 2 —
Doyle, Brenton vs Quintana, Jose: 1B
Teel, Kyle vs Quintana, Jose: 1B
Antonacci, Sam vs Quintana, Jose: 1B
Acuña, Luisangel vs Quintana, Jose: OUT GB +1 run (0-1)
Peters, Tristan vs Quintana, Jose: OUT AIR
Vargas, Miguel vs Quintana, Jose: HR +3 runs (0-4)
Pham, Tommy vs Quintana, Jose: 1B
Grichuk, Randal vs Quintana, Jose: OUT AIR
— Top 3 —
Tovar, Ezequiel vs Martin, Davis: OUT AIR
McCarthy, Jake vs Martin, Davis: 1B
Carrigg, Cole vs Martin, Davis: OUT GB
— Bottom 3 —
Murakami, Munetaka vs Quintana, Jose: OUT AIR
Doyle, Brenton vs Quintana, Jose: K
Teel, Kyle vs Quintana, Jose: K
— Top 4 —
Goodman, Hunter vs Martin, Davis: OUT AIR
Rumfield, TJ vs Martin, Davis: OUT AIR
Norby, Connor vs Martin, Davis: OUT AIR
— Bottom 4 —
Antonacci, Sam vs Quintana, Jose: K
Acuña, Luisangel vs Quintana, Jose: K
Peters, Tristan vs Quintana, Jose: 1B
Vargas, Miguel vs Quintana, Jose: OUT AIR
— Top 5 —
Amador, Adael vs Martin, Davis: 1B
Moniak, Mickey vs Martin, Davis: 1B
Sullivan, Brett vs Martin, Davis: 1B
Tovar, Ezequiel vs Martin, Davis: OUT AIR
McCarthy, Jake vs Martin, Davis: K
Carrigg, Cole vs Martin, Davis: 1B +2 runs (2-4)
Goodman, Hunter vs Martin, Davis: OUT AIR
— Bottom 5 —
Pham, Tommy vs Quintana, Jose: OUT GB
Grichuk, Randal vs Quintana, Jose: OUT GB
Murakami, Munetaka vs Quintana, Jose: OUT AIR
— Top 6 —
Rumfield, TJ vs Martin, Davis: OUT AIR
Norby, Connor vs Urquidy, José: K
Amador, Adael vs Urquidy, José: BB
Moniak, Mickey vs Urquidy, José: K
— Bottom 6 —
Doyle, Brenton vs Quintana, Jose: 1B
Teel, Kyle vs Quintana, Jose: OUT AIR
Antonacci, Sam vs Quintana, Jose: OUT GB
Acuña, Luisangel vs Quintana, Jose: OUT GB
— Top 7 —
Sullivan, Brett vs Urquidy, José: HR +1 run (3-4)
Tovar, Ezequiel vs Hicks, Jordan: BB
McCarthy, Jake vs Hicks, Jordan: OUT AIR
Carrigg, Cole vs Hicks, Jordan: K
Goodman, Hunter vs Hicks, Jordan: K
— Bottom 7 —
Peters, Tristan vs Frasso, Nick: 1B
Vargas, Miguel vs Frasso, Nick: BB
Pham, Tommy vs Frasso, Nick: OUT GB
Grichuk, Randal vs Frasso, Nick: K
— Top 8 —
Rumfield, TJ vs Hicks, Jordan: BB
Norby, Connor vs Hicks, Jordan: K
Amador, Adael vs Richards, Trevor: 1B
Moniak, Mickey vs Richards, Trevor: OUT AIR
Sullivan, Brett vs Richards, Trevor: OUT AIR
— Bottom 8 —
Murakami, Munetaka vs Frasso, Nick: K
Doyle, Brenton vs Thompson, Keegan: 1B
Teel, Kyle vs Thompson, Keegan: K
Antonacci, Sam vs Thompson, Keegan: 1B
Acuña, Luisangel vs Thompson, Keegan: OUT AIR
— Top 9 —
Tovar, Ezequiel vs Richards, Trevor: HR +1 run (4-4)
McCarthy, Jake vs Richards, Trevor: OUT AIR
Carrigg, Cole vs Smith, Hagen: 2B
Goodman, Hunter vs Smith, Hagen: K
Rumfield, TJ vs Smith, Hagen: OUT GB
— Bottom 9 —
Peters, Tristan vs Shook, TJ: HR +1 run (4-5)