The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Vargas, Ildemaro in signal, the comp in amber.
AZ · bats L · 504 PA
Ranked comps for Vargas, Ildemaro
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 490 PA | 0.68 | Walk rateSwing lengthIn-zone contact | Oppo rate +2.0zSprint speed +1.1zMax exit velocity -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Naylor, Josh SEA · L · 656 PA | 0.67 | Chase rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Sprint speed -2.1zSweet-spot rate +1.2zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 602 PA | 0.67 | xwOBA on contactIsolated powerPull rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.5zWhiff rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Lee, Jung Hoo SF · L · 592 PA | 0.66 | Strikeout rateIsolated powerGround-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zChase rate -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Fortes, Nick TB · R · 334 PA | 0.66 | Barrel rateSprint speedIsolated power | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.1zPull rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 526 PA | 0.65 | In-zone contactxwOBA on contactWalk rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.9zOppo rate +1.3zMax exit velocity -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 647 PA | 0.64 | Pull ratexwOBA on contactWalk rate | Fly-ball rate +1.9zStrikeout rate +1.1zIsolated power +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 465 PA | 0.63 | Hard-hit rateSprint speedAvg exit velocity | Strikeout rate +1.4zChase rate -1.2zWhiff rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Young, Cole SEA · L · 654 PA | 0.63 | Max exit velocityOppo ratePull rate | Fly-ball rate +1.3zChase rate -1.3zStrikeout rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Altuve, Jose HOU · R · 578 PA | 0.61 | Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactBarrel rate | Strikeout rate +1.8zWhiff rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Fermín, José STL · R · 384 PA | 0.59 | Oppo rateSprint speedSwing length | Chase rate -2.5zBat speed -1.0zWalk rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 619 PA | 0.59 | Bat speedOppo rateGround-ball rate | Walk rate +1.5zChase rate -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.