Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 198 lb |
| Debut | 2021-09-18 |
Player profile / Tampa Bay Rays
Nick Fortes
C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 198 lb · Age 29
Club Tampa Bay Rays
Position C
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 335 | 28 | 70 | 4 | 0 | .227 | .259 | .318 | .577 |
| 2025 | 242 | 19 | 50 | 5 | 1 | .229 | .296 | .349 | .645 |
| 2026 | 319 | 33 | 77 | 6 | 0 | .262 | .308 | .381 | .689 |
| 6 Seasons | 1493 | 160 | 316 | 34 | 11 | .232 | .286 | .352 | .638 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
21
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.286 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.276 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.280 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
xwOBA
0.251
0.265
0.280
0.295
0.308
wOBA
0.292
0.308
0.325
0.343
0.358
ISO
0.103
0.118
0.136
0.153
0.169
K%
12.3%
13.7%
15.2%
16.7%
18.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.7%
19
Exit velocity84.3
14
Hard-hit%37.1%
45
+20 vs proj
xBA0.283
16
xSLG0.386
9
xwOBA0.276
23
BB%3.9%
8
Bat speed70.4
62
K%13.2%
94
+21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.4 · C
66
Catcher Throwing0.5 · C
64
Framing Runs-1.6 · C
32
Pop Time1.9 · C
65
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.0 · C
27
Sprint Speed26.9 · C
35
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.0% · rebadged research
19
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.6% · rebadged research
36
Correct Decisions62.5% · rebadged research
19
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
18
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.269 · borderline
87
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
32
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
55
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · insufficient sample
48
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328 · validated
70
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.331 · validated
92
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
183 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.000 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.050 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Fortes’s wOBA sits at 0.325, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.276 — a gap of 0.050, -1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 334 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vargas, Ildemaro AZ · L | 0.66 | Barrel rateSprint speed | Player · Projection |
| DeLuca, Jonny TB · R | 0.59 | Avg exit velocityChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Altuve, Jose HOU · R | 0.51 | Chase rateBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Rengifo, Luis MIL · L | 0.48 | In-zone contactFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-07-24 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 6 | 2026-09-24 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +2.163 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.276 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-20 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-17 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | K |
| 2026-04-14 @ CWS0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 1 E | 1-4 | RBI, R |
| 2026-04-12 vs NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |