Mithrandir Metrics

TOTAL BASES 2026-07-16 · saved artifact ROWS 9 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist LINES 0.5

Lane Health 2026-07-16

Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Total Bases

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Palantir production Fangorn experimental Valinor experimental

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Total Bases board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	TB proj	2+ TB	Hits	TB mult	Best line
01	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs PHIAaron Nola	P 65.2 F 68.5 EXPERIMENTAL V 72.1 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Under 0.5 1 of 3	31.5%Under prob · Fangorn	16.4%no-vig	--	2.4788count	0.6516prob	1.4332proj	1.045context	FanDuel 100 avg 1 books
02	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs PHIAaron Nola	P 67.6 F 67.7 EXPERIMENTAL V 71.1 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Under 0.5 1 of 3	32.3%Under prob · Fangorn	18.3%no-vig	--	2.7915count	0.6758prob	1.3911proj	1.045context	FanDuel 110 avg 1 books
03	Juan SotoNYM	NYM vs PHIAaron Nola	P 67.8 F 66.7 EXPERIMENTAL V 70.1 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Under 0.5 1 of 3	33.3%Under prob · Fangorn	19.6%no-vig	--	2.9317count	0.6784prob	1.3461proj	1.045context	FanDuel -120 avg 1 books
04	Jorge PolancoNYM	NYM vs PHIAaron Nola	P 59.8 F 65.2 EXPERIMENTAL V 64.4 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Under 0.5 1 of 3	34.8%Under prob · Fangorn	24.1%no-vig	--	2.3315count	0.5983prob	1.1693proj	1.045context	FanDuel 115 avg 1 books
05	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs PHIAaron Nola	P 65.1 F 65.7 EXPERIMENTAL V 64.7 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Under 0.5 1 of 3	34.3%Under prob · Fangorn	24.4%no-vig	--	2.1747count	0.5806prob	1.1688proj	1.045context	BetMGM -310 avg 1 books
06	Mark VientosNYM	NYM vs PHIAaron Nola	P 61.3 F 59.5 EXPERIMENTAL V 62.9 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Under 0.5 1 of 3	40.5%Under prob · Fangorn	29.4%no-vig	--	2.0711count	0.5578prob	1.0191proj	1.045context	BetMGM -240 avg 1 books
07	Brett BatyNYM	NYM vs PHIAaron Nola	P 46.9 F 61.8 EXPERIMENTAL V 60.2 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Under 0.5 1 of 3	38.2%Under prob · Fangorn	31.7%no-vig	--	1.7436count	0.4692prob	0.9549proj	1.045context	FanDuel 145 avg 1 books
08	Luis Robert Jr.NYM	NYM vs PHIAaron Nola	P 59.0 F 57.8 EXPERIMENTAL V 57.4 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Under 0.5 1 of 3	42.2%Under prob · Fangorn	32.8%no-vig	--	1.8866count	0.5221prob	0.94proj	1.045context	BetMGM -205 avg 1 books
09	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs PHIAaron Nola	P 48.3 F 54.6 EXPERIMENTAL V 58.0 EXPERIMENTAL FULL	Under 0.5 1 of 3	45.4%Under prob · Fangorn	35.7%no-vig	--	1.7233count	0.4826prob	0.8542proj	1.045context	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books