Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-16

Jorge Polanco

NYM · Hitter · bats L · age 33

IN · 6 Neutral

MatchupNYM vs PHIAaron Nola

Sample4117.0career MLB AB

PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 22 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only

Tonight's props · all markets for this player

Home Run 0.5

P 17.2

F 15.0

V 14.8

Model 19.9% Market 16.2% Gap +3.1pp

FanDuel 495 tracking Open board

Total Bases 0.5

P 59.8

F 65.2 EXPERIMENTAL

V 64.4 EXPERIMENTAL

FULL

Model 59.8% Market 75.9% Gap +10.7pp

FanDuel 115 tracking Open board

Hits 1.5

P 20.1

F 20.1 EXPERIMENTAL

V -- in progress

PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes

Model 20.1% Market -- Gap +7.7pp

FanDuel 260 tracking Open board

RBI --

RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%3.1%

22 -44 vs proj

Exit velocity85.6

Hard-hit%28.4%

12 -48 vs proj

xBA0.264

xSLG0.370

xwOBA0.257

9 -64 vs proj

BB%8.2%

Bat speed67.7

K%15.5%

85 +26 vs proj

Defense · percentile strip

Outs Above Avg0.0 · 1B

55 Regression applied

Range Runs-0.3 · 1B

Small sample

Baserunning · percentile strip

Sprint Speed26.0 · DH

Mithrandir+ · percentile strip

Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.0%

Small sample

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.7%

Small sample

Correct Decisions60.7%

Small sample

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.321 · small sample

small sample

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274

Small sample

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists FastballwOBA 0.311

Small sample

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.343

Small sample

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94

Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup

Projected range0.299 to 0.378

RegressionNo current flag

Opposing pitcherAaron Nola

EnvironmentNeutral

Lane calibration receipts

Lane Health 2026-07-16

Palantir 9378 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable

Fangorn 9378 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable

Valinor 3783 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.006 14d stable

Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building

Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)