Mithrandir Metrics
NYM 2026-07-16 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-16

Luis Robert Jr.

NYM · Hitter · bats R · age 29
IN · 9 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupNYM vs PHIAaron Nola
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 59.0
F 57.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V 57.4 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 66.5% Market 67.2% Gap +8.2pp
BetMGM -205 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.7%
10 -60 vs proj
Exit velocity89.5
67
Hard-hit%39.7%
53
xBA0.304
30
xSLG0.472
36
xwOBA0.323
66 +17 vs proj
BB%12.1%
85 +55 vs proj
Bat speed73.8
93
K%19.8%
66 +43 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.8 · CF
77
Arm Strength91.7 · CF
38
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
22
Range Runs-0.5 · CF
42
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts4.0 · CF
50
Sprint Speed29.0 · CF
90
SB Success Rate33.3% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.8%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.3%
Small sample
Correct Decisions70.1%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.301 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.338
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.280 to 0.370
RegressionNegative · -0.054
Opposing pitcherAaron Nola
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-16
Palantir 9378 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9378 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3783 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)