Mithrandir Metrics
NYM 2026-07-16 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-16

Brett Baty

NYM · Hitter · bats L · age 27
IN · 8 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupNYM vs PHIAaron Nola
Sample1227.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 46.9
F 61.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V 60.2 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 46.9% Market 68.2% Gap +8.8pp
FanDuel 145 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 14.2
F 16.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 14.2% Market -- Gap +9.1pp
FanDuel 330 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.1%
67
Exit velocity89.7
69
Hard-hit%40.6%
57
xBA0.341
70
xSLG0.539
60
xwOBA0.307
49
BB%9.3%
58
Bat speed72.8
87
K%26.7%
28 -16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · 3B
17
Arm Strength88.4 · 3B
67
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 3B
12
Range Runs-1.7 · 3B
32
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.1 · 3B
74
SB Success Rate83.3% · 3B
57
Sprint Speed26.9 · 3B
37
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.0%
68
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.1%
70
Correct Decisions69.0%
79
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
75
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.270 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.292 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.297 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.338
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.364
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.291 to 0.345
RegressionPositive · 0.008
Opposing pitcherAaron Nola
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-16
Palantir 9378 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9378 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3783 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)