Mithrandir Metrics
NYM 2026-07-16 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-16

Bo Bichette

NYM · Hitter · bats R · age 28
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupNYM vs PHIAaron Nola
Sample3455.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 18.7
F 15.0
V 11.1
Model 20.0% Market 11.7% Gap +7.9pp
DraftKings 725 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 65.2
F 68.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V 72.1 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 65.2% Market 83.6% Gap +12.7pp
FanDuel 100 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 30.0
F 27.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 30.0% Market -- Gap +4.5pp
FanDuel 190 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
51
Exit velocity90.6
81
Hard-hit%45.5%
78
xBA0.352
79
xSLG0.530
56
xwOBA0.330
71
BB%6.7%
27
Bat speed68.3
30
K%17.2%
79
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 3B
60
Arm Strength88.6 · 3B
68
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 3B
77
Range Runs-0.2 · 3B
46
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.9 · 3B
7
Sprint Speed26.0 · 3B
18
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.5%
16
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.9%
42
Correct Decisions62.6%
19
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
15
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.291 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.315
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.324
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.312 to 0.384
RegressionNegative · -0.002
Opposing pitcherAaron Nola
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-16
Palantir 9378 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9378 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3783 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)