Mithrandir Metrics
Palantir 2026-09-26 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Strikeouts

Strikeouts · Palantir.

Starter strikeout probabilities, alt-ladder context, and lane health in one dense market view.

Rows
11
Date
2026-09-26
Lane
Palantir
STRIKEOUTS 2026-09-26 · saved artifact ROWS 11 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.055, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Lane Health 2026-09-26
Palantir 1947 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1443 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.008 14d stable

Model Lane

Strikeouts

Choose the model that drives this board.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Strikeouts board
#PlayerMatchupThree lanesLineModelMarketGap K proj5+6+7+Opp K%Recent K% Best line
01
TEX vs MINneutral
P 75.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 3.5
1 of 3
75.3%Over prob · Palantir 48.3%no-vig +4.47% 5.48count60.6%ladder45.5%ladder32.1%ladder23.2%lineup0.0%form FanDuel -104 avg 1 books
02
MIL vs STLneutral
P 62.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 3.5
1 of 3
62.2%Over prob · Palantir 40.3%no-vig +4.90% 4.47count45.1%ladder30.1%ladder18.7%ladder21.6%lineup0.0%form FanDuel 134 avg 1 books
03
DET vs PITpitcher-friendly
P 60.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 4.5
2 of 5
39.3%Under prob · Palantir 34.7%no-vig +6.58% 4.37count43.4%ladder28.6%ladder17.5%ladder24.1%lineup0.0%form FanDuel -430 avg 1 books
04
CLE vs KCneutral
P 67.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 3.5
1 of 3
67.2%Over prob · Palantir 51.9%no-vig +0.65% 4.81count50.6%ladder35.4%ladder23.0%ladder19.9%lineup0.0%form FanDuel -122 avg 1 books
05
COL vs CWSneutral
P 34.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 3.5
1 of 3
65.6%Under prob · Palantir 50.4%no-vig +4.95% 2.96count19.2%ladder9.6%ladder4.5%ladder23.4%lineup0.0%form FanDuel -111 avg 1 books
06
SD vs AZneutral
P 42.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 3.5
57.3%Under prob · Palantir 47.1%no-vig +7.29% 3.37count26.0%ladder14.4%ladder7.3%ladder20.6%lineup0.0%form FanDuel -128 avg 1 books
07
LAD vs SFpitcher-friendly
P 44.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 6.5
55.3%Under prob · Palantir --no-vig +8.99% 6.13count68.8%ladder54.7%ladder41.0%ladder23.6%lineup0.0%form Internal -- avg 1 books
08
KC vs CLEneutral
P 66.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 3.5
1 of 4
66.6%Over prob · Palantir 58.9%no-vig +0.01% 4.77count50.0%ladder34.8%ladder22.5%ladder20.8%lineup0.0%form FanDuel -166 avg 1 books
09
CWS vs COLneutral
P 46.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 4.5
2 of 4
46.8%Over prob · Palantir 41.7%no-vig +3.24% 4.57count46.8%ladder31.7%ladder20.0%ladder26.1%lineup0.0%form FanDuel 126 avg 1 books
10
HOU vs ATHneutral
P 44.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 4.5
55.7%Under prob · Palantir 52.8%no-vig +5.74% 4.42count44.3%ladder29.4%ladder18.1%ladder24.1%lineup0.0%form DraftKings 100 avg 1 books
11
MIN vs TEXneutral
P 49.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 4.5
2 of 4
51.0%Under prob · Palantir 50.4%no-vig +0.95% 4.71count49.0%ladder33.8%ladder21.7%ladder21.8%lineup0.0%form FanDuel -111 avg 1 books