Mithrandir Metrics
CLE 2026-09-26 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-09-26

Tanner Bibee

CLE · SP · throws R · age 27
Projected starter Opp K 19.9% Neutral
MatchupCLE vs KCopponent
Sample680.0career MLB IP
PROPS 2 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 16 rows
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.055, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.082, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts3.5
P 67.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 67.2% Market -- Gap +15.3pp
FanDuel -122 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs14.5
P 48.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 48.7% Market 66.7% Gap +13.6pp
FanDuel -200 tracking Open board
Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.29
58
ERA4.16
48
BB%6.7%
83
K%18.5%
25 -26 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.318
43
Barrel allowed9.2%
23 -16 vs proj
Fastball velo93.6
37
Hard-hit allowed40.3%
36
Whiff%21.5%
42
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Changeup Stuff+100
36
Curveball Stuff+103
56
Cutter Stuff+104
74
Fastball Stuff+102
47
Mithrandir Stuff+103
55
Sinker Stuff+102
46
Slider Stuff+107
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range19.6% to 28.6%
Opponent K19.9%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-26
Palantir 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Valinor 16023 props Brier 0.114 ECE 0.001 14d stable
Palantir 1947 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1443 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Palantir 10429 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.039 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 850 props Brier 0.166 ECE 0.036 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 1088 props Brier 0.255 ECE 0.053 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)