Mithrandir Metrics
LAD 2026-09-26 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-09-26

Blake Snell

LAD · SP · throws L · age 34
Projected starter Opp K 23.6% Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupLAD vs SFopponent
Sample1196.667career MLB IP
PROPS 1 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 14 rows
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.055, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.082, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts6.5
P 44.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 44.7% Market -- Gap +9.0pp
Internal -- tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs--
Pitcher Outs · tracking

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.11
86
ERA1.86
97
BB%10.1%
37
K%32.7%
97
xwOBA allowed0.228
99 +20 vs proj
Barrel allowed1.1%
100 +49 vs proj
Fastball velo95.9
74
Hard-hit allowed15.7%
100
Whiff%32.8%
98
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Fastball Stuff+108
87
Mithrandir Stuff+106
85
Changeup Stuff+110
Small sample
Curveball Stuff+103
Small sample
Slider Stuff+100
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range23.2% to 35.9%
Opponent K23.6%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-26
Palantir 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Valinor 16023 props Brier 0.114 ECE 0.001 14d stable
Palantir 1947 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1443 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Palantir 10429 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.039 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 850 props Brier 0.166 ECE 0.036 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 1088 props Brier 0.255 ECE 0.053 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)