Mithrandir Metrics

STRIKEOUTS 2026-06-13 · saved artifact ROWS 20 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-06-16

Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building

Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Model Lane

Strikeouts

Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Strikeouts board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	K proj	5+	6+	7+	Opp K%	Recent K%	Best line
01	Michael SorokaAZ	AZ vs CINhitter-friendly	P 30.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	69.1%Under prob · Palantir	42.5%no-vig	+4.07%	4.52count	45.9%ladder	30.9%ladder	19.3%ladder	23.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -160 avg 1 books
02	Cade CavalliWSH	WSH vs SEAhitter-friendly	P 33.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 5	67.0%Under prob · Palantir	41.1%no-vig	+0.38%	3.77count	33.0%ladder	19.8%ladder	10.9%ladder	25.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -162 avg 1 books
03	Matthew LiberatoreSTL	STL vs MINneutral	P 30.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 4	69.8%Under prob · Palantir	49.0%no-vig	+2.62%	3.61count	30.2%ladder	17.5%ladder	9.4%ladder	23.2%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -120 avg 1 books
04	Sean BurkeCWS	CWS vs LADneutral	P 38.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 5	61.4%Under prob · Palantir	46.6%no-vig	+11.39%	4.09count	38.6%ladder	24.4%ladder	14.3%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -128 avg 1 books
05	Kyle FreelandCOL	COL vs ATHneutral	P 35.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5	64.5%Under prob · Palantir	50.4%no-vig	+2.92%	3.91count	35.5%ladder	21.8%ladder	12.3%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -108 avg 1 books
06	Ranger SuarezBOS	BOS vs TEXneutral	P 36.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	63.1%Under prob · Palantir	50.4%no-vig	+2.22%	4.91count	52.2%ladder	36.9%ladder	24.3%ladder	21.8%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -110 avg 1 books
07	Tarik SkubalDET	DET vs CLEneutral	P 60.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 5.5 3 of 5	60.0%Over prob · Palantir	47.6%no-vig	+3.50%	6.54count	73.2%ladder	60.0%ladder	46.5%ladder	20.8%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -104 avg 1 books
08	Jacob deGromTEX	TEX vs BOSneutral	P 31.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5 4 of 5	68.1%Under prob · Palantir	56.3%no-vig	+4.62%	5.47count	60.5%ladder	45.4%ladder	31.9%ladder	23.5%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 114 avg 1 books
09	Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD	LAD vs CWSneutral	P 33.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5 4 of 5	66.7%Under prob · Palantir	56.3%no-vig	+3.15%	5.57count	61.8%ladder	46.9%ladder	33.3%ladder	23.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 114 avg 1 books
10	José SorianoLAA	LAA vs TBneutral	P 47.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5	52.3%Under prob · Palantir	44.1%no-vig	+2.28%	5.63count	62.6%ladder	47.7%ladder	34.1%ladder	23.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -142 avg 1 books
11	Randy VásquezSD	SD vs BALneutral	P 39.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	60.5%Under prob · Palantir	52.4%no-vig	+10.49%	3.21count	23.3%ladder	12.4%ladder	6.1%ladder	23.0%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings -102 avg 1 books
12	Ben BrownCHC	CHC vs SFneutral	P 50.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5	49.2%Under prob · Palantir	41.3%no-vig	+0.81%	4.82count	50.8%ladder	35.5%ladder	23.2%ladder	23.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -142 avg 1 books
13	Noah CameronKC	KC vs HOUneutral	P 42.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 4	57.3%Under prob · Palantir	49.6%no-vig	+7.26%	4.33count	42.7%ladder	28.0%ladder	17.0%ladder	20.3%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -114 avg 1 books
14	Martín PérezATL	ATL vs NYMneutral	P 42.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	57.5%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+7.49%	3.36count	25.8%ladder	14.3%ladder	7.2%ladder	21.9%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
15	Kevin GausmanTOR	TOR vs NYYhitter-friendly	P 38.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5 4 of 5	61.5%Under prob · Palantir	56.0%no-vig	+2.25%	5.95count	66.7%ladder	52.2%ladder	38.6%ladder	22.8%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 116 avg 1 books
16	Luis CastilloSEA	SEA vs WSHhitter-friendly	P 51.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 4	51.1%Over prob · Palantir	46.8%no-vig	+1.12%	4.84count	51.1%ladder	35.8%ladder	23.4%ladder	20.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 100 avg 1 books
17	Aaron NolaPHI	PHI vs MILneutral	P 55.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 5	44.4%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	+9.72%	5.13count	55.6%ladder	40.3%ladder	27.3%ladder	22.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -166 avg 1 books
18	Cam SchlittlerNYY	NYY vs TORhitter-friendly	P 47.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 5.5 3 of 5	47.6%Over prob · Palantir	45.8%no-vig	+2.43%	5.62count	62.5%ladder	47.6%ladder	34.0%ladder	19.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 104 avg 1 books
19	Mike BurrowsHOU	HOU vs KCneutral	P 41.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 4	41.9%Over prob · Palantir	41.0%no-vig	+8.12%	4.28count	41.9%ladder	27.2%ladder	16.4%ladder	19.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 128 avg 1 books
20	Joey CantilloCLE	CLE vs DETneutral	P 58.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 5	58.4%Over prob · Palantir	57.6%no-vig	+6.85%	5.32count	58.4%ladder	43.1%ladder	29.9%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -158 avg 1 books