Mithrandir Metrics
COL 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-06-13

Kyle Freeland

COL · SP · throws L · age 33
Projected starter Opp K 24.1% Neutral
MatchupCOL vs ATHopponent
Sample1313.333career MLB IP
PROPS 1 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 16 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts4.5
P 35.5
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 35.5% Market -- Gap +14.1pp
FanDuel -108 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs--
Pitcher Outs · tracking

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.69
6
ERA7.81
2
BB%6.3%
82
K%17.5%
16
xwOBA allowed0.385
4
Barrel allowed10.1%
23
Fastball velo91.4
10
Hard-hit allowed42.9%
28
Whiff%20.2%
28 +20 vs proj
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Curveball Stuff+100
21
Fastball Stuff+103
55
Mithrandir Stuff+101
46
Changeup Stuff+106
Small sample
Cutter Stuff+106
Small sample
Sinker Stuff+100
Small sample
Slider Stuff+97
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range13.0% to 22.8%
Opponent K24.1%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)