Mithrandir Metrics
AZ 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-06-13

Michael Soroka

AZ · SP · throws R · age 29
Projected starter Opp K 23.9% Hitter-Friendly
MatchupAZ vs CINopponent
Sample489.667career MLB IP
PROPS 2 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 15 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts5.5
P 30.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 30.9% Market -- Gap +26.6pp
FanDuel -160 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs16.5
P 39.5
F 37.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 39.5% Market 58.0% Gap +14.7pp
FanDuel -138 tracking Open board
Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.13
75
ERA3.28
65
BB%5.8%
88 +45 vs proj
K%24.5%
63 +17 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.311
53
Barrel allowed8.1%
44
Fastball velo93.7
37
Hard-hit allowed34.5%
78
Whiff%20.1%
26
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Fastball Stuff+105
70
Mithrandir Stuff+105
77
Slider Stuff+101
47
Changeup Stuff+106
Small sample
Cutter Stuff+105
Small sample
Sinker Stuff+111
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range18.3% to 28.2%
Opponent K23.9%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)