Mithrandir Metrics
SEA 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-06-13

Luis Castillo

SEA · SP · throws R · age 34
Projected starter Opp K 20.9% Hitter-Friendly
MatchupSEA vs WSHopponent
Sample1471.667career MLB IP
PROPS 2 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 14 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts4.5
P 51.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 51.1% Market -- Gap +4.3pp
FanDuel 100 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs15.5
P 55.5
F 56.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 55.5% Market 57.6% Gap +1.8pp
FanDuel -136 tracking Open board
Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.39
37
ERA5.16
23
BB%8.1%
60 -16 vs proj
K%21.6%
44
xwOBA allowed0.344
22 -18 vs proj
Barrel allowed11.0%
13 -26 vs proj
Fastball velo95.2
64
Hard-hit allowed48.8%
5
Whiff%22.4%
45
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Fastball Stuff+101
42
Mithrandir Stuff+104
67
Slider Stuff+104
66
Changeup Stuff+106
Small sample
Sinker Stuff+106
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range18.3% to 29.3%
Opponent K20.9%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)