Mithrandir Metrics
STL 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-06-13

Matthew Liberatore

STL · SP · throws L · age 27
Projected starter Opp K 23.2% Neutral
MatchupSTL vs MINopponent
Sample400.333career MLB IP
PROPS 2 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 16 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts4.5
P 30.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 30.2% Market -- Gap +20.8pp
FanDuel -120 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs15.5
P 54.1
F 54.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 54.1% Market 54.9% Gap +2.9pp
FanDuel -122 tracking Open board
Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.47
25
ERA4.48
35
BB%8.8%
48 -26 vs proj
K%21.4%
43 +19 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.354
16 -19 vs proj
Barrel allowed9.0%
34
Fastball velo94.4
51
Hard-hit allowed44.3%
20
Whiff%21.2%
34
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Fastball Stuff+100
37
Mithrandir Stuff+102
52
Slider Stuff+103
57
Changeup Stuff+108
Small sample
Curveball Stuff+102
Small sample
Cutter Stuff+99
Small sample
Sinker Stuff+105
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range16.8% to 25.3%
Opponent K23.2%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)