Mithrandir Metrics

STRIKEOUTS 2026-06-13 · saved artifact ROWS 20 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-06-12

Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building

Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Model Lane

Strikeouts

Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Strikeouts board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	K proj	5+	6+	7+	Opp K%	Recent K%	Best line
01	Michael SorokaAZ	AZ vs CINhitter-friendly	P 63.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 5	37.0%Under prob · Palantir	22.2%no-vig	+4.07%	4.52count	45.9%ladder	30.9%ladder	19.3%ladder	23.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -1000 avg 1 books
02	Cade CavalliWSH	WSH vs SEAhitter-friendly	P 50.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5 1 of 5	49.6%Under prob · Palantir	22.2%no-vig	+0.38%	3.77count	33.0%ladder	19.8%ladder	10.9%ladder	25.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -350 avg 1 books
03	Jacob deGromTEX	TEX vs BOSneutral	P 75.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 5	24.8%Under prob · Palantir	17.5%no-vig	+4.62%	5.47count	60.5%ladder	45.4%ladder	31.9%ladder	23.5%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -1500 avg 1 books
04	Ranger SuarezBOS	BOS vs TEXneutral	P 68.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 5	31.5%Under prob · Palantir	26.3%no-vig	+2.22%	4.91count	52.2%ladder	36.9%ladder	24.3%ladder	21.8%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -750 avg 1 books
05	Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD	LAD vs CWShitter-friendly	P 75.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 5	24.2%Under prob · Palantir	20.0%no-vig	+3.88%	5.52count	61.1%ladder	46.1%ladder	32.6%ladder	23.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -1250 avg 1 books
06	Sean BurkeCWS	CWS vs LADhitter-friendly	P 55.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5 1 of 4	44.6%Under prob · Palantir	26.3%no-vig	+12.09%	4.05count	37.9%ladder	23.8%ladder	13.8%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -280 avg 1 books
07	Tarik SkubalDET	DET vs CLEneutral	P 84.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 7.5 5 of 5	84.7%Over prob · Palantir	19.6%no-vig	+3.50%	6.54count	73.2%ladder	60.0%ladder	46.5%ladder	20.8%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -520 avg 1 books
08	Kevin GausmanTOR	TOR vs NYYhitter-friendly	P 80.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 5	20.0%Under prob · Palantir	19.2%no-vig	+2.25%	5.95count	66.7%ladder	52.2%ladder	38.6%ladder	22.8%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -1400 avg 1 books
09	Noah CameronKC	KC vs HOUneutral	P 60.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5 1 of 4	40.0%Under prob · Palantir	27.8%no-vig	+7.26%	4.33count	42.7%ladder	28.0%ladder	17.0%ladder	20.3%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -260 avg 1 books
10	Randy VásquezSD	SD vs BALneutral	P 39.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	60.5%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+10.49%	3.21count	23.3%ladder	12.4%ladder	6.1%ladder	23.0%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
11	Aaron NolaPHI	PHI vs MILneutral	P 71.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5 1 of 5	28.7%Under prob · Palantir	19.2%no-vig	+9.72%	5.13count	55.6%ladder	40.3%ladder	27.3%ladder	22.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -420 avg 1 books
12	Cam SchlittlerNYY	NYY vs TORhitter-friendly	P 76.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5 1 of 5	23.2%Under prob · Palantir	14.3%no-vig	+2.43%	5.62count	62.5%ladder	47.6%ladder	34.0%ladder	19.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -600 avg 1 books
13	Martín PérezATL	ATL vs NYMneutral	P 42.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	57.5%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+7.49%	3.36count	25.8%ladder	14.3%ladder	7.2%ladder	21.9%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
14	Luis CastilloSEA	SEA vs WSHhitter-friendly	P 67.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 6.5 4 of 4	67.6%Over prob · Palantir	16.9%no-vig	+1.12%	4.84count	51.1%ladder	35.8%ladder	23.4%ladder	20.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -220 avg 1 books
15	Joey CantilloCLE	CLE vs DETneutral	P 73.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 7.5 5 of 5	73.6%Over prob · Palantir	13.7%no-vig	+6.85%	5.32count	58.4%ladder	43.1%ladder	29.9%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -340 avg 1 books
16	Mike BurrowsHOU	HOU vs KCneutral	P 59.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5 1 of 4	40.8%Under prob · Palantir	36.8%no-vig	+8.12%	4.28count	41.9%ladder	27.2%ladder	16.4%ladder	19.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -172 avg 1 books
17	Kyle FreelandCOL	COL vs ATHneutral	P 52.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 3.5	52.9%Over prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+2.92%	3.91count	35.5%ladder	21.8%ladder	12.3%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
18	Matthew LiberatoreSTL	STL vs MINneutral	P 47.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	52.6%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+2.62%	3.61count	30.2%ladder	17.5%ladder	9.4%ladder	23.2%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
19	José SorianoLAA	LAA vs TBneutral	P 47.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5	52.3%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+2.28%	5.63count	62.6%ladder	47.7%ladder	34.1%ladder	23.6%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
20	Ben BrownCHC	CHC vs SFneutral	P 50.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5	50.8%Over prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+0.81%	4.82count	50.8%ladder	35.5%ladder	23.2%ladder	23.6%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books