Mithrandir Metrics

PITCHER OUTS 2026-06-13 · saved artifact ROWS 11 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-06-14

Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Pitcher Outs

Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.

Palantir production Fangorn experimental Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Pitcher Outs board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Outs proj	IP	BF	Recent K	Recent BB	Best line
01	Cam SchlittlerNYY	NYY vs TORhitter-friendly	P 38.8 F 39.4 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 17.5	61.2%Under prob · Palantir	42.8%no-vig	+15.30%	16.81count	5.60leash	22.556volume	0.2952traffic	0.0529traffic	FanDuel -158 avg 1 books
02	Michael SorokaAZ	AZ vs CINhitter-friendly	P 39.5 F 37.7 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 16.5	60.5%Under prob · Palantir	45.8%no-vig	+11.50%	15.70count	5.23leash	21.936volume	0.2494traffic	0.053traffic	FanDuel -138 avg 1 books
03	Aaron NolaPHI	PHI vs MILneutral	P 66.6 F 67.2 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Over 15.5	66.6%Over prob · Palantir	53.9%no-vig	+8.64%	16.86count	5.62leash	22.786volume	0.2335traffic	0.0551traffic	FanDuel -138 avg 1 books
04	Ranger SuarezBOS	BOS vs TEXneutral	P 51.5 F 49.1 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Over 17.5	51.5%Over prob · Palantir	45.7%no-vig	+2.44%	17.69count	5.90leash	22.674volume	0.1976traffic	0.0846traffic	FanDuel 104 avg 1 books
05	Jacob deGromTEX	TEX vs BOSneutral	P 46.5 F 47.1 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 17.5	53.5%Under prob · Palantir	48.1%no-vig	+2.04%	17.08count	5.69leash	22.117volume	0.3026traffic	0.0488traffic	FanDuel -125 avg 1 books
06	Sean BurkeCWS	CWS vs LADneutral	P 53.8 F 55.6 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 14.5	46.2%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	+1.58%	14.82count	4.94leash	22.172volume	0.1908traffic	0.091traffic	FanDuel -166 avg 1 books
07	Kevin GausmanTOR	TOR vs NYYhitter-friendly	P 56.5 F 57.1 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Over 17.5	56.5%Over prob · Palantir	53.2%no-vig	+0.41%	18.13count	6.04leash	23.722volume	0.2979traffic	0.0416traffic	FanDuel -132 avg 1 books
08	Matthew LiberatoreSTL	STL vs MINneutral	P 54.1 F 54.1 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Over 15.5	54.1%Over prob · Palantir	51.2%no-vig	+0.81%	15.85count	5.28leash	21.723volume	0.1669traffic	0.085traffic	FanDuel -122 avg 1 books
09	Joey CantilloCLE	CLE vs DETneutral	P 58.5 F 57.9 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Over 14.5	58.5%Over prob · Palantir	56.1%no-vig	+1.87%	15.64count	5.21leash	20.478volume	0.28traffic	0.1249traffic	FanDuel -152 avg 1 books
10	Luis CastilloSEA	SEA vs WSHhitter-friendly	P 55.5 F 56.1 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Over 15.5	55.5%Over prob · Palantir	53.8%no-vig	+2.08%	16.00count	5.33leash	21.976volume	0.2351traffic	0.0731traffic	FanDuel -136 avg 1 books
11	Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD	LAD vs CWSneutral	P 43.2 F 41.4 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Over 18.5	43.2%Over prob · Palantir	43.1%no-vig	+3.05%	17.82count	5.94leash	23.533volume	0.2459traffic	0.0571traffic	FanDuel 116 avg 1 books