Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / TB · 2026

Díaz, Yandy

Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach

Primary
0.348 xwOBA
Range
0.325 to 0.398
Live Δ
yes
Team TB Archetype Balanced regular Age 35 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.351
xwOBA current pace0.370
xwOBA rolling p500.361
Observed weight54%
xwOBA
0.335 0.347 0.361 0.375 0.388
wOBA
0.412 0.430 0.451 0.472 0.491
ISO
0.154 0.171 0.190 0.209 0.226
K%
11.1% 12.2% 13.5% 14.8% 15.9%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%8.9%
51
Barrel%7.4%
78 +19 vs proj
Bat speed72.0
80
Exit velocity90.9
83
Hard-hit%47.1%
81
K%12.8%
92
xBA0.338
64
xSLG0.565
65
xwOBA0.370
88
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · DH
47
Sprint Speed25.7 · DH
15
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
Limited
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.5% · rebadged research
70
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.2% · rebadged research
22
Correct Decisions68.1% · rebadged research
68
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
53
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.337 · borderline
1
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.269 · insufficient sample
78
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.296 · validated thin sample
10
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
68
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
44
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.383 · validated
7
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Díaz, Yandy · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3562026-05-19: 0.3642026-05-21: 0.3782026-05-23: 0.3732026-05-24: 0.3732026-05-25: 0.3712026-05-26: 0.3732026-05-28: 0.3712026-05-29: 0.3672026-05-30: 0.3672026-05-31: 0.3692026-06-01: 0.370 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Yandy Díaz's tools (99) outpace production (86) by 14 points. Primary finding: elite raw contact quality undermined by swing decisions — the bat is dangerous when it connects.

See full optimization →

Chase Rate Problem
Hold Hold Hold Hold Attack Hold Hold Hold Hold

Pitch recognition training and two-strike approach adjustment

Protected takes / Chase risk
Contact-Discipline Mismatch
Hold Hold Hold Hold Attack Hold Hold Hold Hold

Shorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballs

Protected takes / Chase risk
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

187 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Díaz, Yandy · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 5% of plotted batted ballsPull 5%Center field third: 75% of plotted batted ballsCenter 75%Right field third: 20% of plotted batted ballsOppo 20% LF 318 CF 408 RF 314 2026-03-15 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.8 / LA -17.02026-03-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 112.3 / LA -15.02026-03-17 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 105.7 / LA 21.02026-03-17 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 68.4 / LA 4.02026-03-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 109.3 / LA -5.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 99.6 / LA 19.02026-03-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.5 / LA 4.02026-03-21 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 92.0 / LA 20.02026-03-21 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 80.1 / LA 26.02026-03-21 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 29.02026-03-22 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -11.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 73.0 / LA -3.02026-03-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA -26.02026-03-23 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.4 / LA 2.02026-03-23 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 81.0 / LA -45.02026-03-23 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 82.9 / LA 13.02026-03-23 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 107.8 / LA 18.02026-03-24 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA -28.02026-03-24 · field out · SL · popup · EV 77.7 / LA 80.02026-03-26 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 80.0 / LA -6.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA -17.02026-03-26 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 71.9 / LA 36.02026-03-26 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 102.9 / LA 5.02026-03-26 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.2 / LA -40.02026-03-28 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 112.8 / LA 4.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 26.02026-03-28 · field error · FC · ground_ball · EV 72.7 / LA -50.02026-03-28 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 101.8 / LA 9.02026-03-29 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 72.1 / LA -75.02026-03-29 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 66.9 / LA 34.02026-03-29 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 94.6 / LA 14.02026-03-29 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 108.8 / LA 8.02026-03-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 111.1 / LA -13.02026-03-29 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA 4.02026-03-30 · home run · CH · line_drive · EV 98.5 / LA 23.02026-03-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 106.0 / LA 5.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.4 / LA 34.02026-03-31 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 81.7 / LA 41.02026-03-31 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 41.02026-04-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 28.02026-04-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 53.7 / LA -47.02026-04-01 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 80.6 / LA -23.02026-04-03 · field out · SL · popup · EV 72.2 / LA 79.02026-04-03 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 67.1 / LA 20.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 84.5 / LA 38.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 91.6 / LA 2.02026-04-04 · triple · SL · line_drive · EV 107.9 / LA 20.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · popup · EV 82.7 / LA 70.02026-04-05 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA -9.02026-04-05 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.2 / LA -15.02026-04-06 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 45.02026-04-06 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 85.8 / LA -12.02026-04-06 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.4 / LA 7.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 66.2 / LA -7.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · popup · EV 87.9 / LA 64.02026-04-07 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 51.02026-04-08 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 85.3 / LA 42.02026-04-08 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 85.0 / LA -15.02026-04-08 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA -28.02026-04-10 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 103.3 / LA 32.02026-04-10 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA -28.02026-04-10 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.2 / LA -65.02026-04-10 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA -21.02026-04-11 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 104.5 / LA 40.02026-04-11 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 92.1 / LA -32.02026-04-11 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 97.2 / LA -12.02026-04-12 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 100.3 / LA 10.02026-04-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 67.0 / LA -10.02026-04-12 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 108.6 / LA 6.02026-04-14 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 34.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA -19.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.1 / LA -14.02026-04-14 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.6 / LA 8.02026-04-14 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.4 / LA -7.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.6 / LA 22.02026-04-15 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 102.1 / LA 12.02026-04-16 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 34.6 / LA 30.02026-04-16 · field out · FF · popup · EV 60.3 / LA 58.02026-04-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 57.4 / LA -59.02026-04-16 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 90.9 / LA 14.02026-04-16 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 81.1 / LA 11.02026-04-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.1 / LA -7.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA -9.02026-04-17 · field out · SL · popup · EV 49.5 / LA 61.02026-04-17 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 85.4 / LA 19.02026-04-18 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 93.3 / LA 20.02026-04-18 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.0 / LA -4.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.1 / LA 16.02026-04-19 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 71.7 / LA -32.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.6 / LA -17.02026-04-20 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA -37.02026-04-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.2 / LA 8.02026-04-20 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 75.9 / LA -46.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.8 / LA 6.02026-04-21 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 79.4 / LA 18.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.9 / LA 41.02026-04-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.8 / LA 5.02026-04-22 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA -7.02026-04-22 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 89.2 / LA 16.02026-04-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 88.7 / LA -27.02026-04-24 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 106.0 / LA 0.02026-04-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 89.8 / LA 17.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 83.3 / LA 20.02026-04-25 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 102.4 / LA 8.02026-04-25 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 87.8 / LA 32.02026-04-25 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.9 / LA -70.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 15.02026-04-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 33.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.1 / LA -36.02026-04-27 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 106.4 / LA -9.02026-04-27 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 29.02026-04-28 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 76.5 / LA -36.02026-04-28 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 86.2 / LA 12.02026-04-28 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA -23.02026-04-29 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 99.1 / LA 16.02026-04-29 · single · pitch · line_drive2026-04-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 110.8 / LA -4.02026-04-29 · single · pitch · line_drive2026-05-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 36.02026-05-01 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 77.9 / LA 45.02026-05-04 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 91.1 / LA 8.02026-05-04 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.2 / LA 39.02026-05-04 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 90.4 / LA 35.02026-05-04 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 89.8 / LA -19.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 4.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 60.3 / LA -17.02026-05-05 · field out · FS · popup · EV 86.9 / LA 61.02026-05-05 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.5 / LA 1.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA -2.02026-05-06 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 82.8 / LA 1.02026-05-06 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 79.2 / LA 24.02026-05-06 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.9 / LA -13.02026-05-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 61.6 / LA -68.02026-05-07 · sac fly · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 35.02026-05-07 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA -14.02026-05-07 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 104.8 / LA 20.02026-05-10 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 87.3 / LA 48.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 40.9 / LA 3.02026-05-10 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA -3.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 69.3 / LA -54.02026-05-11 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 67.7 / LA -57.02026-05-11 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.7 / LA -9.02026-05-11 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 102.1 / LA 27.02026-05-12 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 106.6 / LA -8.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 106.5 / LA 14.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.3 / LA 33.02026-05-12 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 101.5 / LA -7.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 95.1 / LA 20.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · popup · EV 69.3 / LA 76.02026-05-13 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.0 / LA -26.02026-05-13 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 91.0 / LA 11.02026-05-13 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 76.7 / LA -46.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA -7.02026-05-15 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 29.02026-05-15 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 74.6 / LA -9.02026-05-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.7 / LA -3.02026-05-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.4 / LA -36.02026-05-16 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 105.7 / LA -14.02026-05-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 109.5 / LA -9.02026-05-16 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 66.2 / LA 21.02026-05-16 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 86.7 / LA 5.02026-05-17 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 108.5 / LA 27.02026-05-17 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 64.5 / LA -26.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 72.1 / LA -23.02026-05-18 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 25.02026-05-18 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.9 / LA 2.02026-05-18 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 80.7 / LA 13.02026-05-18 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 105.6 / LA 19.02026-05-19 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 113.7 / LA 10.02026-05-19 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 80.6 / LA 40.02026-05-19 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 111.3 / LA 25.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 25.02026-05-22 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 88.9 / LA 50.02026-05-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 96.1 / LA 18.02026-05-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA -38.02026-05-24 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 101.1 / LA 18.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 80.2 / LA 73.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.3 / LA -19.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · popup · EV 74.4 / LA 79.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.6 / LA -18.02026-05-25 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 104.8 / LA 26.02026-05-26 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 103.4 / LA -5.02026-05-26 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.1 / LA 1.02026-05-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 71.4 / LA -29.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 77.0 / LA 54.02026-05-31 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 99.6 / LA 21.02026-05-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 76.4 / LA -17.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Díaz, Yandy · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 23.3° Length 7.6 ft Ideal path 29% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Díaz, Yandy · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 1.5° Direction +9.2° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Díaz, Yandy · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 73.3 mph Hard swing rate 33% Whiff / swing 12% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Díaz, Yandy · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 27%27%Whiff: 11%11%Zone contact: 91%91%Contact: 89%89%Hard hit: 47%47% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.334 vs 0.295 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Age-35 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.023
wOBA Δ+0.104
Sample257 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances600----
Home Runs20----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3480.325 to 0.398+/- 0.036
ISO0.1620.110 to 0.245+/- 0.068
Barrel%5.7%4.5% to 8.5%+/- 2.0%
Hard-Hit%48.9%46.9% to 57.8%+/- 5.4%
K%15.0%12.2% to 20.7%+/- 4.2%
BB%8.5%6.9% to 11.3%+/- 2.2%
BABIP0.3220.296 to 0.369+/- 0.037
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

1187 career PA

xwOBA0.334
K%11.0%
BB%8.3%
Barrel6.9%
vs RHP

2815 career PA

xwOBA0.295
K%14.2%
BB%7.3%
Barrel5.0%