Mithrandir Metrics
Palantir 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 12 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher Outs

Pitcher Outs · Palantir.

Starter workload probabilities with leash, traffic, and lane-health context.

Rows
10
Date
2026-06-12
Lane
Palantir
PITCHER OUTS 2026-06-12 · saved artifact ROWS 10 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist
Edges are provisional — model still calibrating This market's model lanes don't yet have enough graded results to validate edges. Treat the gaps below as early model signal, not settled edges.
Lane Health 2026-06-12
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Pitcher Outs

Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.

Palantir production Fangorn experimental Valinor missing
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Pitcher Outs board
#PlayerMatchupThree lanesLineModelMarketGap Outs projIPBFRecent KRecent BB Best line
01
Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
MIL vs PHIneutral
P 13.3
F 10.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 18.5
86.7%Under prob · Palantir 57.3%no-vig +25.14% 15.28count5.09leash20.926volume0.3277traffic0.0745traffic FanDuel 118 avg 1 books
02
Ryan WeathersNYY
NYY vs TORneutral
P 32.8
F 34.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 17.5
67.2%Under prob · Palantir 39.9%no-vig +24.43% 15.80count5.27leash22.034volume0.2783traffic0.0677traffic FanDuel -180 avg 1 books
03
Jack LeiterTEX
TEX vs BOSneutral
P 31.9
F 30.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 17.5
68.0%Under prob · Palantir 47.2%no-vig +17.55% 15.84count5.28leash23.186volume0.2742traffic0.0914traffic FanDuel -130 avg 1 books
04
Nick LodoloCIN
CIN vs AZhitter-friendly
P 32.5
F 31.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 17.5
67.5%Under prob · Palantir 50.0%no-vig +14.26% 15.00count5.00leash20.605volume0.2591traffic0.0819traffic FanDuel -114 avg 1 books
05
Spencer StriderATL
ATL vs NYMneutral
P 62.7
F 60.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Over 15.5
62.7%Over prob · Palantir 46.1%no-vig +13.24% 17.00count5.67leash21.952volume0.2267traffic0.1257traffic FanDuel 102 avg 1 books
06
Sandy AlcantaraMIA
MIA vs PITneutral
P 38.7
F 39.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 18.5
61.3%Under prob · Palantir 55.5%no-vig +1.94% 17.33count5.78leash24.983volume0.1853traffic0.0629traffic FanDuel 110 avg 1 books
07
Jack FlahertyDET
DET vs CLEneutral
P 55.1
F 53.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 14.5
44.9%Under prob · Palantir 40.3%no-vig +1.45% 15.00count5.00leash21.132volume0.2637traffic0.0846traffic FanDuel -180 avg 1 books
08
Eduardo RodriguezAZ
AZ vs CINhitter-friendly
P 47.3
F 46.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 17.5
52.7%Under prob · Palantir 48.8%no-vig +0.34% 17.14count5.71leash24.522volume0.1696traffic0.103traffic FanDuel -122 avg 1 books
09
Tanner BibeeCLE
CLE vs DETneutral
P 50.8
F 53.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Over 17.5
50.8%Over prob · Palantir 48.1%no-vig +0.70% 17.60count5.87leash22.637volume0.2045traffic0.0663traffic FanDuel -106 avg 1 books
10
Sonny GrayBOS
BOS vs TEXneutral
P 49.7
F 48.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 16.5
50.3%Under prob · Palantir 50.0%no-vig +2.93% 16.46count5.49leash21.108volume0.1833traffic0.0754traffic FanDuel -114 avg 1 books