Mithrandir Metrics
ATL 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 12 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-06-12

Spencer Strider

ATL · SP · throws R · age 28
Projected starter Opp K 21.9% Neutral
MatchupATL vs NYMopponent
Sample491.0career MLB IP
PROPS 2 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 14 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts5.5
P 45.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 45.7% Market -- Gap +7.6pp
FanDuel -132 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs15.5
P 62.7
F 60.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 62.7% Market 49.5% Gap +16.7pp
FanDuel 102 tracking Open board
Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.33
46
ERA3.77
49
BB%12.8%
13 -40 vs proj
K%28.9%
89
xwOBA allowed0.276
81 +29 vs proj
Barrel allowed10.5%
19 -20 vs proj
Fastball velo95.3
66
Hard-hit allowed36.0%
69
Whiff%27.0%
77
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Fastball Stuff+101
42
Mithrandir Stuff+99
26
Changeup Stuff+100
Small sample
Curveball Stuff+100
Small sample
Slider Stuff+98
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range22.3% to 33.9%
Opponent K21.9%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-12
Palantir 5214 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 5214 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)