Mithrandir Metrics
MIA 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-06-12

Sandy Alcantara

MIA · SP · throws R · age 31
Projected starter Opp K 24.1% Neutral
MatchupMIA vs PITopponent
Sample1164.667career MLB IP
PROPS 2 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 15 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts4.5
P 52.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 52.4% Market -- Gap +3.4pp
FanDuel -110 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs18.5
P 38.7
F 39.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 38.7% Market 47.6% Gap +5.8pp
FanDuel 110 tracking Open board
Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.24
60
ERA4.25
39
BB%5.6%
91 +21 vs proj
K%18.2%
21
xwOBA allowed0.317
48 +22 vs proj
Barrel allowed6.5%
68 +29 vs proj
Fastball velo97.2
90
Hard-hit allowed37.9%
57
Whiff%18.7%
17
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Changeup Stuff+110
94
Fastball Stuff+106
79
Mithrandir Stuff+108
91
Sinker Stuff+110
97
Slider Stuff+102
51
Cutter Stuff+102
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range15.9% to 25.2%
Opponent K24.1%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)