Mithrandir Metrics
CIN 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-06-12

Nick Lodolo

CIN · SP · throws L · age 28
Projected starter Opp K 20.6% Hitter-Friendly
MatchupCIN vs AZopponent
Sample442.333career MLB IP
PROPS 2 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 14 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts4.5
P 54.5
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 54.5% Market -- Gap +2.8pp
FanDuel -122 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs17.5
P 32.5
F 31.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 32.5% Market 53.3% Gap +17.5pp
FanDuel -114 tracking Open board
Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.43
30
ERA5.21
20
BB%9.5%
40 -47 vs proj
K%18.9%
25 -28 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.391
2 -58 vs proj
Barrel allowed12.7%
5 -32 vs proj
Fastball velo94.1
47
Hard-hit allowed40.9%
40
Whiff%20.3%
29 -36 vs proj
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Changeup Stuff+105
Small sample
Curveball Stuff+99
Small sample
Fastball Stuff+100
Small sample
Mithrandir Stuff+102
Small sample
Sinker Stuff+112
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range20.3% to 29.6%
Opponent K20.6%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)