Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.300 vs 0.268 xwOBA split).
Hitter projection / ATL · 2026
Harris II, Michael
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team ATL
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
91
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.341 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.363 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.355 |
| Observed weight | 63% |
xwOBA
0.331
0.343
0.355
0.368
0.379
wOBA
0.336
0.351
0.368
0.384
0.400
ISO
0.148
0.161
0.175
0.189
0.202
K%
17.5%
18.6%
19.8%
21.0%
22.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.7%
95
Exit velocity91.4
88
Hard-hit%51.6%
94
xBA0.383
93
xSLG0.655
88
xwOBA0.363
90
BB%4.0%
9
Bat speed72.8
87
K%19.9%
66
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.6 · CF
68
Arm Strength94.0 · CF
61
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
46
Range Runs6.5 · CF
96
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.5 · CF
4
SB Success Rate80.0% · CF
45
Sprint Speed27.7 · CF
58
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 52.7% · rebadged research
7
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.6% · rebadged research
36
Correct Decisions59.2% · rebadged research
7
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline88
9
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · borderline
14
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.258 · insufficient sample
96
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.316 · validated thin sample
3
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.362 · insufficient sample
7
Resists FastballwOBA 0.351 · validated
26
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.370 · validated
23
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
191 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.025 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.029 |
| Sample | 372 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 582 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 18 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.338 | 0.315 to 0.385 | +/- 0.035 |
| ISO | 0.161 | 0.117 to 0.230 | +/- 0.056 |
| Barrel% | 7.2% | 4.9% to 9.6% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 46.2% | 41.9% to 52.6% | +/- 5.4% |
| K% | 18.8% | 15.9% to 24.2% | +/- 4.1% |
| BB% | 4.2% | 2.5% to 7.0% | +/- 2.2% |
| BABIP | 0.305 | 0.274 to 0.353 | +/- 0.039 |
vs LHP
632 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.268 |
| K% | 17.5% |
| BB% | 2.7% |
| Barrel | 5.1% |
vs RHP
1594 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.300 |
| K% | 16.1% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 6.9% |