Mithrandir Metrics
Palantir 2026-07-16 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Strikeouts

Strikeouts · Palantir.

Starter strikeout probabilities, alt-ladder context, and lane health in one dense market view.

Rows
1
Date
2026-07-16
Lane
Palantir
STRIKEOUTS 2026-07-16 · saved artifact ROWS 1 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist
Edges are provisional — model still calibrating This market's model lanes don't yet have enough graded results to validate edges. Treat the gaps below as early model signal, not settled edges.
Lane Health 2026-07-16
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Model Lane

Strikeouts

Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Strikeouts board
#PlayerMatchupThree lanesLineModelMarketGap K proj5+6+7+Opp K%Recent K% Best line
01
Aaron NolaPHI
PHI vs NYMneutral
P 44.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 5.5
3 of 5 		44.9%Over prob · Palantir 42.5%no-vig +5.06% 5.44count60.0%ladder44.9%ladder31.5%ladder21.9%lineup0.0%form FanDuel 122 avg 1 books