Mithrandir Metrics
Player Detroit Tigers Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Detroit Tigers

Hao-Yu Lee

2B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 9", 190 lb · Age 23

Cards
26
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Detroit Tigers Position 2B Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20263604087103.267.326.429.755
1 Seasons3604087103.267.326.429.755
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
60
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
55
Defense3 metrics
21
Speed2 metrics
42
Plate skills10 metrics
65
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.264
xwOBA current pace0.302
xwOBA rolling p500.287
Observed weight62%
xwOBA
0.241 0.263 0.287 0.312 0.334
wOBA
0.298 0.313 0.330 0.347 0.362
ISO
0.090 0.109 0.130 0.151 0.170
K%
17.4% 20.2% 23.4% 26.5% 29.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.9%
68 +35 vs proj
Exit velocity89.2
65
Hard-hit%41.3%
65 +29 vs proj
xBA0.318
52
xSLG0.537
61
xwOBA0.302
50
BB%7.9%
42
Bat speed69.4
45
K%23.9%
44 +21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength87.2 · 2B
51
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · 2B
8
Range Runs-9.4 · 2B
3
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.2 · 2B
15
Sprint Speed28.1 · 2B
68
SB Success Rate50.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.2% · rebadged research
69
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.2% · rebadged research
71
Correct Decisions68.9% · rebadged research
77
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
79
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.317 · borderline
13
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.253 · insufficient sample
97
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.259 · validated thin sample
91
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
99
Resists FastballwOBA 0.380 · validated
7
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
49
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Lee, Hao-Yu · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.302 2026-09-12: 0.2992026-09-13: 0.3002026-09-14: 0.2982026-09-18: 0.2972026-09-19: 0.3032026-09-20: 0.3032026-09-21: 0.3002026-09-22: 0.3012026-09-23: 0.3042026-09-24: 0.3032026-09-25: 0.3032026-09-26: 0.302 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

154 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Lee, Hao-Yu · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 8% of plotted batted ballsPull 8%Center field third: 64% of plotted batted ballsCenter 64%Right field third: 27% of plotted batted ballsOppo 27% LF 345 CF 420 RF 330 2026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 27.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 56.02026-04-19 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 91.9 / LA -37.02026-04-19 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 90.1 / LA 36.02026-04-20 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 107.6 / LA 20.02026-04-20 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 91.8 / LA 18.02026-04-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA 3.02026-04-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 110.6 / LA 10.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 69.7 / LA 61.02026-04-24 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 79.1 / LA 7.02026-04-25 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 36.02026-04-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.8 / LA 26.02026-04-28 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 102.8 / LA 17.02026-04-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 43.6 / LA -69.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.9 / LA 18.02026-04-30 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 46.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.3 / LA 38.02026-05-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 81.1 / LA 26.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 52.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 36.02026-05-03 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA -17.02026-05-04 · field out · FC · popup · EV 84.6 / LA 62.02026-05-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 31.02026-05-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 39.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 76.4 / LA 29.02026-05-05 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA 5.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 48.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 48.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 42.02026-05-10 · triple · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 26.02026-05-12 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 90.5 / LA 15.02026-05-12 · single · CH · fly_ball · EV 71.9 / LA 25.02026-05-15 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA -7.02026-05-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -28.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 94.8 / LA 24.02026-05-19 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 104.1 / LA 13.02026-05-19 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 84.0 / LA 27.02026-05-20 · fielders choice · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.9 / LA -9.02026-05-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 65.6 / LA 8.02026-05-20 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 73.6 / LA 49.02026-05-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 80.9 / LA -20.02026-05-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.2 / LA -54.02026-05-22 · double · ST · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 1.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 10.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.2 / LA 32.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 70.3 / LA -22.02026-05-26 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 40.02026-05-27 · field out · KC · popup · EV 85.2 / LA 62.02026-05-27 · field out · KC · popup · EV 65.1 / LA 68.02026-05-27 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 80.8 / LA 25.02026-05-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.5 / LA -7.02026-06-01 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 108.0 / LA 16.02026-06-01 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 65.6 / LA -1.02026-06-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.8 / LA 33.02026-06-01 · field out · SL · popup · EV 78.1 / LA 73.02026-06-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 92.4 / LA 18.02026-06-15 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 81.4 / LA 7.02026-06-15 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 75.4 / LA -41.02026-06-15 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 64.9 / LA 21.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.2 / LA 50.02026-06-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 40.02026-06-20 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.7 / LA 46.02026-06-20 · field out · SV · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 37.02026-06-22 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 80.5 / LA 24.02026-06-22 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 87.3 / LA 16.02026-06-22 · sac bunt · FC · ground_ball · EV 32.7 / LA -9.02026-06-24 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 101.6 / LA 14.02026-06-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 11.02026-06-30 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 83.7 / LA 20.02026-06-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA -19.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 31.02026-07-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA -6.02026-07-27 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.8 / LA -20.02026-07-27 · sac fly · CU · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 28.02026-07-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.5 / LA -10.02026-08-02 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 2.02026-08-02 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 76.3 / LA 10.02026-08-02 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 97.8 / LA 17.02026-08-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.2 / LA 52.02026-08-02 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.7 / LA -36.02026-08-13 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 93.7 / LA 20.02026-08-15 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 73.8 / LA -9.02026-08-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 44.02026-08-15 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 57.2 / LA -74.02026-08-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 1.02026-08-17 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.6 / LA -3.02026-08-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA 3.02026-08-17 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.7 / LA -58.02026-08-19 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA 4.02026-08-21 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA -8.02026-08-21 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 100.6 / LA 6.02026-08-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 51.02026-08-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA -14.02026-08-22 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 110.0 / LA 27.02026-08-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 47.02026-08-23 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.0 / LA 32.02026-08-23 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 29.02026-08-23 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 33.02026-08-23 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 99.4 / LA 22.02026-08-23 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 98.4 / LA 11.02026-08-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.4 / LA 5.02026-08-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 86.9 / LA -39.02026-08-26 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 28.02026-08-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 3.02026-08-26 · field out · FF · popup · EV 66.3 / LA 70.02026-08-29 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.3 / LA 3.02026-08-29 · field out · CH · popup · EV 74.2 / LA 68.02026-08-29 · field out · FF · popup · EV 89.0 / LA 66.02026-08-29 · field out · FF · popup · EV 69.0 / LA 72.02026-08-31 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.6 / LA 26.02026-08-31 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.6 / LA -15.02026-09-01 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 78.9 / LA 12.02026-09-01 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 106.1 / LA 15.02026-09-02 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.6 / LA -7.02026-09-02 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 88.8 / LA 36.02026-09-02 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 69.7 / LA 9.02026-09-04 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA -16.02026-09-04 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 40.02026-09-04 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.2 / LA -10.02026-09-04 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 84.3 / LA -3.02026-09-04 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 89.4 / LA -15.02026-09-06 · field out · SL · popup · EV 81.9 / LA 76.02026-09-08 · field out · FC · popup · EV 91.0 / LA 60.02026-09-09 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA -10.02026-09-12 · triple · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 24.02026-09-12 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 77.9 / LA 13.02026-09-12 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 26.02026-09-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.0 / LA 39.02026-09-13 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 83.0 / LA -5.02026-09-13 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 51.02026-09-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 62.3 / LA -60.02026-09-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.9 / LA -3.02026-09-18 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 101.1 / LA 13.02026-09-18 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 27.02026-09-18 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 99.0 / LA 8.02026-09-18 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 108.9 / LA 18.02026-09-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 77.8 / LA 39.02026-09-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.7 / LA 36.02026-09-21 · double · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.1 / LA -13.02026-09-21 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 4.02026-09-21 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 92.9 / LA 23.02026-09-21 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 34.02026-09-21 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 24.02026-09-22 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -13.02026-09-22 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 13.02026-09-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 60.8 / LA 7.02026-09-23 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 87.4 / LA 16.02026-09-23 · field out · SL · popup · EV 79.2 / LA 77.02026-09-23 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 45.02026-09-25 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 36.6 / LA -43.02026-09-25 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 88.3 / LA -42.02026-09-25 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 65.2 / LA -59.02026-09-25 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 4.02026-09-25 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.3 / LA 39.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Lee, Hao-Yu · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 29%29%Whiff: 25%25%Zone contact: 84%84%Contact: 75%75%Hard hit: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age23
Height5' 9"
Weight190 lb
Debut2026-04-17
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.005
wOBA Δ+0.033

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.0σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.330
xwOBA (deserved)0.302

Lee’s wOBA sits at 0.330, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.302 — a gap of 0.028, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 355 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
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Benge, Carson NYM · L 0.59 Walk rateBat speed Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting42026-09-21Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding222026-09-254 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.679
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.297 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection
2026-08-15 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E1-3 | R
2026-05-20 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K
2026-04-20 @ BOS0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E2-4 | 2B, K, RBI
2026-04-17 @ BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 1 E0-3 | K