Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / TB · 2026
DeLuca, Jonny
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team TB
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status IL-10
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.301 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.277 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.291 |
| Observed weight | 39% |
xwOBA
0.255
0.272
0.291
0.311
0.328
wOBA
0.308
0.333
0.360
0.387
0.412
ISO
0.093
0.113
0.136
0.159
0.180
K%
15.4%
17.3%
19.5%
21.6%
23.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%4.3%
9
Barrel%2.1%
15
Bat speed70.5
65
Exit velocity83.8
8
Hard-hit%29.9%
14
K%19.3%
66
xBA0.322
48
xSLG0.448
30
xwOBA0.277
22
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.9 · RF
83
Arm Strength92.9 · RF
58
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
80
Range Runs2.3 · RF
78
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · RF
52
Bolts16.0 · RF
86
SB Success Rate66.7% · RF
22
Sprint Speed29.2 · RF
94
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.6% · rebadged research
18
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4% · rebadged research
68
Correct Decisions63.0% · rebadged research
20
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.277 · borderline
71
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
43
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.259 · validated thin sample
89
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.353 · insufficient sample
11
Resists FastballwOBA 0.325 · validated
78
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.380 · validated
9
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
27
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
107 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.016 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.067 |
| Sample | 140 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 276 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.293 | 0.241 to 0.345 | +/- 0.052 |
| ISO | 0.123 | 0.079 to 0.214 | +/- 0.068 |
| Barrel% | 2.7% | 1.0% to 6.0% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 29.4% | 24.1% to 39.5% | +/- 7.7% |
| K% | 20.6% | 15.7% to 27.8% | +/- 6.1% |
| BB% | 6.3% | 4.3% to 9.2% | +/- 2.4% |
| BABIP | 0.286 | 0.237 to 0.334 | +/- 0.048 |
vs LHP
167 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.180 |
| K% | 13.7% |
| BB% | 4.6% |
| Barrel | 1.9% |
vs RHP
328 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.173 |
| K% | 13.1% |
| BB% | 3.7% |
| Barrel | 1.8% |