Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Strikeouts

Strikeouts · Valinor.

Starter strikeout probabilities, alt-ladder context, and lane health in one dense market view.

Rows
14
Date
2026-07-17
Lane
Valinor
STRIKEOUTS 2026-07-17 · saved artifact ROWS 14 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist
Edges are provisional — model still calibrating This market's model lanes don't yet have enough graded results to validate edges. Treat the gaps below as early model signal, not settled edges.
Lane Health 2026-07-16
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Model Lane

Strikeouts

Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Coverage Gap

Valinor does not cover Strikeouts yet

This is an honest empty state, not a loading error. The lane contract marks this model-market cell as missing, so Mithrandir will not fabricate probabilities for it.

Valinor lane for K is in active development. The current calibration architecture preserves probability shape but does not meet our accuracy benchmark. We're working behind the scenes on a calibration approach that improves accuracy without compromising shape, rather than shipping a worse-calibrated model.

Methodology reference: