Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn 2026-06-01 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher Outs

Pitcher Outs · Fangorn.

Starter workload probabilities with leash, traffic, and lane-health context.

Rows
4
Date
2026-06-01
Lane
Fangorn
PITCHER OUTS 2026-06-01 · saved artifact ROWS 4 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist
Edges are provisional — model still calibrating This market's model lanes don't yet have enough graded results to validate edges. Treat the gaps below as early model signal, not settled edges.
Lane Health 2026-06-01
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Pitcher Outs

Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Pitcher Outs board
#PlayerMatchupThree lanesLineModelMarketGap Outs projIPBFRecent KRecent BB Best line
01
TEX vs STLneutral
P 46.3
F 46.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 17.5
53.1%Under prob · Fangorn 42.8%no-vig -- 17.05count5.68leash21.974volume0.3026traffic0.0488traffic FanDuel -158 avg 1 books
02
MIA vs WSHneutral
P 48.6
F 49.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 17.5
50.8%Under prob · Fangorn 43.1%no-vig -- 17.35count5.78leash25.083volume0.1853traffic0.0629traffic FanDuel -158 avg 1 books
03
SF vs MILneutral
P 41.5
F 39.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 16.5
60.9%Under prob · Fangorn 52.6%no-vig -- 15.54count5.18leash22.116volume0.2538traffic0.0824traffic FanDuel -104 avg 1 books
04
STL vs TEXneutral
P 45.6
F 45.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 17.5
54.4%Under prob · Fangorn 51.7%no-vig -- 17.13count5.71leash22.551volume0.1277traffic0.0695traffic FanDuel -108 avg 1 books