Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn 2026-07-16 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Hits

Hits · Fangorn.

Contact volume, lineup status, and market context for hitter hit props.

Rows
6
Date
2026-07-16
Lane
Fangorn
HITS 2026-07-16 · saved artifact ROWS 6 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist
Edges are provisional — model still calibrating This market's model lanes don't yet have enough graded results to validate edges. Treat the gaps below as early model signal, not settled edges.
Lane Health 2026-07-16
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.

Palantir production Fangorn experimental Valinor missing
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Hits board
#PlayerMatchupThree lanesLineModelMarketGap PropHits projLine probPARecentPitch mix Best line
01
Francisco AlvarezNYM
NYM vs PHI
P 11.8
F 10.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 0.5
1 of 2 		90.0%Under prob · Fangorn 35.1%no-vig -- 1+ Hitline0.643count90.0%selected3.18role--form--fit FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
02
Brett BatyNYM
NYM vs PHI
P 14.2
F 16.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 1.5
2 of 2 		83.4%Under prob · Fangorn 76.7%no-vig -- 2+ Hitsline0.711count83.4%selected3.49role--form--fit FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
03
Jorge PolancoNYM
NYM vs PHI
P 20.1
F 20.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 1.5
2 of 2 		79.9%Under prob · Fangorn 72.2%no-vig -- 2+ Hitsline0.852count79.9%selected4.19role--form--fit FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
04
Juan SotoNYM
NYM vs PHI
P 26.8
F 25.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 1.5
2 of 2 		75.0%Under prob · Fangorn 66.7%no-vig -- 2+ Hitsline1.014count75.0%selected4.79role--form--fit FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
05
Bo BichetteNYM
NYM vs PHI
P 30.0
F 27.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 1.5
2 of 2 		72.4%Under prob · Fangorn 65.5%no-vig -- 2+ Hitsline1.09count72.4%selected4.29role--form--fit FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
06
Francisco LindorNYM
NYM vs PHI
P 27.9
F 26.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Under 1.5
2 of 2 		73.9%Under prob · Fangorn 70.6%no-vig -- 2+ Hitsline1.04count73.9%selected4.69role--form--fit FanDuel 240 avg 1 books