Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-06-01 · saved artifact ROWS 33 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-06-01

Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.

Palantir production Fangorn experimental Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs SF	P 98.0 F 98.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 4	2.0%Under prob · Fangorn	32.3%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.355count	2.0%selected	1.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 1500 avg 1 books
02	Kyle StowersMIA	MIA vs WSH	P 98.0 F 98.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 4	2.0%Under prob · Fangorn	35.1%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.325count	2.0%selected	1.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
03	Nolan GormanSTL	STL vs TEX	P 98.0 F 98.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 4	2.0%Under prob · Fangorn	45.5%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.23count	2.0%selected	1.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
04	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 98.0 F 98.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 4	2.0%Under prob · Fangorn	27.8%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.64count	2.0%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 7000 avg 1 books
05	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs TEX	P 98.0 F 98.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 4	2.0%Under prob · Fangorn	29.4%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.618count	2.0%selected	3.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 8000 avg 1 books
06	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs WSH	P 98.0 F 98.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 4	2.0%Under prob · Fangorn	64.9%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.853count	2.0%selected	3.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 5000 avg 1 books
07	Liam HicksMIA	MIA vs WSH	P 98.0 F 98.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 4	2.0%Under prob · Fangorn	69.7%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.777count	2.0%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 6500 avg 1 books
08	Danny JansenTEX	TEX vs STL	P 98.0 F 97.6 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 4	2.4%Under prob · Fangorn	38.5%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.586count	2.4%selected	2.95role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 22500 avg 1 books
09	Josh JungTEX	TEX vs STL	P 98.0 F 98.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 4	2.0%Under prob · Fangorn	64.3%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.913count	2.0%selected	3.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 4000 avg 1 books
10	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 98.0 F 98.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 4	2.0%Under prob · Fangorn	33.9%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.682count	2.0%selected	2.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 12500 avg 1 books
11	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs SF	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 3	98.0%Under prob · Fangorn	37.7%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.622count	98.0%selected	3.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 2500 avg 1 books
12	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs TEX	P 98.0 F 98.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 4	2.0%Under prob · Fangorn	36.4%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.658count	2.0%selected	3.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 17500 avg 1 books
13	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs MIN	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Fangorn	36.4%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.684count	98.0%selected	3.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 10000 avg 1 books
14	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs TEX	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Fangorn	69.7%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.889count	98.0%selected	4.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 8000 avg 1 books
15	Connor NorbyMIA	MIA vs WSH	P 98.0 F 98.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 4	2.0%Under prob · Fangorn	77.8%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.717count	2.0%selected	3.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 15000 avg 1 books
16	Joc PedersonTEX	TEX vs STL	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Fangorn	74.4%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.793count	98.0%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 10000 avg 1 books
17	Andrew BenintendiCWS	CWS vs MIN	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Fangorn	76.2%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.756count	98.0%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 10000 avg 1 books
18	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs SF	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Over 0.5 1 of 4	2.0%Over prob · Fangorn	63.0%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	1.078count	2.0%selected	4.73role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 10000 avg 1 books
19	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs MIN	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Fangorn	74.4%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.81count	98.0%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 10000 avg 1 books
20	Jake BurgerTEX	TEX vs STL	P 2.0 F 2.7 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 4	97.3%Under prob · Fangorn	69.7%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.932count	97.3%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 7500 avg 1 books
21	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Fangorn	73.0%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.851count	98.0%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 12500 avg 1 books
22	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Fangorn	66.7%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	1.016count	98.0%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 7000 avg 1 books
23	James WoodWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Fangorn	69.7%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.95count	98.0%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 6500 avg 1 books
24	Evan CarterTEX	TEX vs STL	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Fangorn	37.0%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.76count	98.0%selected	3.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 12500 avg 1 books
25	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs SF	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Over 0.5 1 of 4	2.0%Over prob · Fangorn	65.5%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	1.072count	2.0%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 10000 avg 1 books
26	Luis RengifoMIL	MIL vs SF	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Fangorn	35.1%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.803count	98.0%selected	3.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 12500 avg 1 books
27	Christian YelichMIL	MIL vs SF	P 2.0 F 3.3 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Over 0.5 1 of 4	3.3%Over prob · Fangorn	64.9%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	1.081count	3.3%selected	4.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 10000 avg 1 books
28	Jakob MarseeMIA	MIA vs WSH	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Over 0.5 1 of 4	2.0%Over prob · Fangorn	63.0%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.965count	2.0%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 12500 avg 1 books
29	Brandon NimmoTEX	TEX vs STL	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Fangorn	67.7%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	1.055count	98.0%selected	4.52role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 6500 avg 1 books
30	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs WSH	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 2.5 3 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Fangorn	89.5%no-vig	--	3+ Hitsline	1.12count	98.0%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 4500 avg 1 books
31	Victor Scott IISTL	STL vs TEX	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 3	98.0%Under prob · Fangorn	45.5%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.658count	98.0%selected	4.03role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 4000 avg 1 books
32	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 2.0 F 2.1 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Over 0.5 1 of 4	2.1%Over prob · Fangorn	67.7%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	1.084count	2.1%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 12500 avg 1 books
33	Sal FrelickMIL	MIL vs SF	P 2.0 F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Fangorn	77.8%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.855count	98.0%selected	3.65role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 20000 avg 1 books