Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.86 |
| ERA current pace | 2.46 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.27 |
| Observed weight | 42% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 44.8% | 222 | 106 | qualified |
| SI | 24.2% | 120 | 104 | limited sample |
| FC | 16.0% | 79 | 104 | limited sample |
| CB | 11.1% | 55 | 103 | limited sample |
| CH | 3.8% | 19 | 103 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -1.90 |
| K% Δ | +0.064 |
| Sample | 44.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 62.8 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 283 | -- | -- |
| K% | 22.4% | 16.5% to 31.9% | +/- 7.7% |
| BB% | 9.5% | 6.1% to 12.7% | +/- 3.3% |
| Whiff% | 24.9% | 19.3% to 30.2% | +/- 5.5% |
| HR/9 | 1.30 | 0.92 to 2.48 | +/- 0.78 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.305 | 0.243 to 0.340 | +/- 0.048 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.4% | 3.7% to 9.4% | +/- 2.8% |
| ERA | 4.36 | 3.07 to 6.46 | +/- 1.69 |
| FIP | 4.11 | 3.15 to 5.51 | +/- 1.18 |
| WHIP | 1.334 | 1.023 to 1.665 | +/- 0.321 |
| xwOBA | 0.201 |
| K% | 18.6% |
| BB% | 6.8% |
| Barrel | 3.9% |
| xwOBA | 0.222 |
| K% | 17.5% |
| BB% | 7.2% |
| Barrel | 4.7% |
