Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / SD · 2026

Rodriguez, Bradgley

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
22.4% K%
Range
12.9% to 29.2%
Live Δ
yes
Team SD Archetype Balanced reliever Age 23 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.37
ERA current pace1.69
ERA rolling p502.78
Observed weight35%
ERA
0.78 1.73 2.78 3.84 4.78
FIP
1.58 2.35 3.22 4.09 4.87
K%
17.7% 20.3% 23.2% 26.1% 28.8%
BB%
5.8% 7.1% 8.6% 10.1% 11.5%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%8.5%
53 +18 vs proj
Barrel allowed1.1%
100 +39 vs proj
Fastball velo97.9
94
Hard-hit allowed27.6%
96
K%24.0%
60
Whiff%30.1%
89 +44 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.212
99 +47 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+108
90
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 42%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Rodriguez, Bradgley · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.2152026-05-19: 0.2062026-05-21: 0.2052026-05-23: 0.2102026-05-24: 0.2102026-05-25: 0.2202026-05-26: 0.2202026-05-28: 0.2142026-05-29: 0.2102026-05-30: 0.2102026-05-31: 0.2102026-06-01: 0.212 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Rodriguez, Bradgley · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 40%40%Zone: 53%53%Whiff: 30%30%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 28%28% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rodriguez, Bradgley · 2026 arsenal snapshot Changeup: 42.3%Sinker: 25.6%4-Seam Fastball: 22.6%Cutter: 9.5% MIX CH 42%SI 26%FF 23%FC 10% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rodriguez, Bradgley · 2026 arsenal snapshot CH: HB -0.5, IVB 2.1CHSI: HB 0.3, IVB 1.4SIFF: HB -0.1, IVB 1.0FFFC: HB -0.2, IVB 2.6FC horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CH 42.1% 174 110 limited sample
SI 25.9% 107 105 limited sample
FB 22.0% 91 104 limited sample
FC 9.9% 41 106 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 41%, Sinker 25%, Changeup 24%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-2.82
K% Δ+0.016
Sample31.3 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings32.2----
Batters Faced135----
K%22.4%12.9% to 29.2%+/- 8.1%
BB%9.7%3.0% to 11.1%+/- 4.0%
Whiff%22.3%9.8% to 27.9%+/- 9.0%
HR/91.090.00 to 1.77+/- 0.89
xwOBA Against0.3110.104 to 0.390+/- 0.143
Barrel% Allowed7.0%0.1% to 8.6%+/- 4.2%
ERA4.510.00 to 5.43+/- 2.71
FIP3.760.76 to 5.22+/- 2.23
WHIP1.3290.440 to 1.617+/- 0.589
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

11 career BF

xwOBA0.117
K%14.4%
BB%5.4%
Barrel0.1%
vs RHH

20 career BF

xwOBA0.116
K%14.7%
BB%4.2%
Barrel0.1%