Ekness, Josh
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.03 |
| ERA current pace | 1.69 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 2.87 |
| Observed weight | 12% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 48.0% | 47 | 103 | limited sample |
| SL | 29.6% | 29 | 100 | limited sample |
| CB | 11.2% | 11 | 102 | limited sample |
| SI | 11.2% | 11 | 100 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 31.4 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 138 | -- | -- |
| K% | 20.8% | 0.1% to 19.6% | +/- 9.8% |
| BB% | 9.0% | 0.3% to 10.0% | +/- 4.9% |
| Whiff% | 21.5% | 0.3% to 25.0% | +/- 12.3% |
| HR/9 | 1.07 | 0.00 to 1.57 | +/- 0.78 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.284 | 0.001 to 0.308 | +/- 0.154 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.9% | 1.2% to 10.7% | +/- 4.8% |
| ERA | 3.61 | 0.00 to 4.82 | +/- 2.41 |
| FIP | 3.64 | 0.71 to 5.83 | +/- 2.56 |
| WHIP | 1.254 | 0.245 to 1.413 | +/- 0.584 |
1 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.004 |
| K% | 0.3% |
| BB% | 2.8% |
| Barrel | 3.1% |
4 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.004 |
| K% | 0.3% |
| BB% | 2.1% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |