Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.51 |
| ERA current pace | 2.60 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.59 |
| Observed weight | 48% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC | 41.6% | 302 | 101 | qualified |
| FB | 24.8% | 180 | 98 | limited sample |
| SI | 20.5% | 149 | 99 | limited sample |
| SL | 12.5% | 91 | 85 | limited sample |
| CH | 0.6% | 4 | 106 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -1.52 |
| K% Δ | -0.048 |
| Sample | 51.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 71.3 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 305 | -- | -- |
| K% | 22.4% | 21.0% to 29.5% | +/- 4.3% |
| BB% | 7.9% | 5.9% to 10.7% | +/- 2.4% |
| Whiff% | 20.6% | 18.6% to 25.5% | +/- 3.5% |
| HR/9 | 1.39 | 0.91 to 1.85 | +/- 0.47 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.314 | 0.280 to 0.335 | +/- 0.027 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.5% | 5.2% to 11.9% | +/- 3.3% |
| ERA | 4.12 | 2.68 to 5.57 | +/- 1.45 |
| FIP | 3.99 | 3.02 to 4.61 | +/- 0.79 |
| WHIP | 1.224 | 1.059 to 1.528 | +/- 0.234 |
| xwOBA | 0.286 |
| K% | 21.5% |
| BB% | 8.1% |
| Barrel | 9.3% |
| xwOBA | 0.260 |
| K% | 23.4% |
| BB% | 6.1% |
| Barrel | 7.7% |
