Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / CWS · 2026

Taylor, Grant

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
30.0% K%
Range
24.7% to 37.5%
Live Δ
yes
Team CWS Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 24 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
80
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
73
Arsenal5 metrics
94
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason3.78
ERA current pace2.79
ERA rolling p503.32
Observed weight47%
ERA
2.09 2.67 3.32 3.97 4.55
FIP
1.96 2.46 3.02 3.57 4.08
K%
27.0% 28.8% 30.9% 33.0% 34.9%
BB%
7.4% 8.4% 9.5% 10.6% 11.6%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.15
74
ERA2.79
82
BB%8.6%
50 +22 vs proj
K%32.5%
96
xwOBA allowed0.243
98
Barrel allowed6.6%
67
Fastball velo98.4
96
Hard-hit allowed43.8%
19
Whiff%27.1%
79
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-07-16
Fastball Stuff+111
97
Mithrandir Stuff+111
99
Curveball Stuff+105
96
Sinker Stuff+109
96
Slider Stuff+106
81
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 49%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Taylor, Grant · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.243 2026-07-05: 0.2382026-07-06: 0.2372026-07-07: 0.2372026-07-08: 0.2372026-07-09: 0.2372026-07-10: 0.2372026-07-11: 0.2412026-07-12: 0.2412026-07-13: 0.2432026-07-14: 0.2432026-07-15: 0.2432026-07-16: 0.243 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Taylor, Grant · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 35%35%Zone: 50%50%Whiff: 27%27%Called strike: 20%20%First pitch strike: 54%54%Hard hit allowed: 44%44% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Taylor, Grant · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 49.2%Curveball: 26.9%Slider: 15.3%Sinker: 7.7%Cutter: 0.9% FF49% · 98 mphprimary pitch FF 49%CU 27%SL 15%SI 8%FC 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Taylor, Grant · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 49% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 11″ drop, 98.3 mphFF98 mphCurveball: 27% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 54″ drop, 84.0 mphCU84 mphSlider: 15% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 89.6 mphSL90 mphSinker: 8% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 99.4 mphSI99 mphCutter: 1% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 95.4 mphFC95 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 52.7% 275 111 qualified
CB 23.9% 125 105 limited sample
SL 15.7% 82 106 limited sample
SI 6.9% 36 109 limited sample
FC 0.8% 4 89 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 55%, Curveball 22%, Cutter 17%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-0.83
K% Δ+0.026
Sample50.3 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings64.7----
Batters Faced282----
K%30.0%24.7% to 37.5%+/- 6.4%
BB%10.6%7.4% to 13.8%+/- 3.2%
Whiff%26.6%21.9% to 32.7%+/- 5.4%
HR/91.000.04 to 1.43+/- 0.70
xwOBA Against0.2750.232 to 0.319+/- 0.043
Barrel% Allowed6.8%3.4% to 9.8%+/- 3.2%
ERA3.622.73 to 6.20+/- 1.73
FIP2.951.28 to 4.26+/- 1.49
WHIP1.3211.060 to 1.648+/- 0.294
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

90 career BF

xwOBA0.225
K%26.9%
BB%10.9%
Barrel5.1%
vs RHH

68 career BF

xwOBA0.223
K%27.3%
BB%7.5%
Barrel5.5%