Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / CWS · 2026

Taylor, Grant

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
30.0% K%
Range
24.7% to 37.5%
Live Δ
yes
Team CWS Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 24 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
82
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
73
Arsenal5 metrics
88
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason3.78
ERA current pace2.34
ERA rolling p502.93
Observed weight59%
ERA
1.68 2.27 2.93 3.59 4.18
FIP
1.99 2.50 3.07 3.63 4.14
K%
27.1% 28.6% 30.3% 32.0% 33.5%
BB%
7.7% 8.6% 9.5% 10.4% 11.2%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.11
85
ERA2.34
93
BB%8.9%
49 +19 vs proj
K%30.8%
95
xwOBA allowed0.267
90
Barrel allowed7.3%
53
Fastball velo98.3
96
Hard-hit allowed42.2%
23
Whiff%26.3%
78
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-26
Curveball Stuff+106
94
Fastball Stuff+111
97
Mithrandir Stuff+109
97
Sinker Stuff+104
61
Slider Stuff+107
89
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 44%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Taylor, Grant · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.267 2026-09-12: 0.2592026-09-13: 0.2652026-09-14: 0.2652026-09-18: 0.2722026-09-19: 0.2722026-09-20: 0.2722026-09-21: 0.2712026-09-22: 0.2712026-09-23: 0.2712026-09-24: 0.2712026-09-25: 0.2712026-09-26: 0.267 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Taylor, Grant · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 35%35%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 26%26%Called strike: 20%20%First pitch strike: 50%50%Hard hit allowed: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Taylor, Grant · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 43.9%Curveball: 26.7%Slider: 16.7%Sinker: 12.1%Cutter: 0.6% FF44% · 98 mphprimary pitch FF 44%CU 27%SL 17%SI 12%FC 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Taylor, Grant · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 44% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 98.1 mphFF98 mphCurveball: 27% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 55″ drop, 83.8 mphCU84 mphSlider: 17% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 89.5 mphSL90 mphSinker: 12% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 98.9 mphSI99 mphCutter: 1% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 95.4 mphFC95 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 45.1% 377 111 qualified
CB 25.4% 212 106 qualified
SL 17.0% 142 107 limited sample
SI 12.1% 101 104 limited sample
FC 0.5% 4 90 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 55%, Curveball 22%, Cutter 17%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-1.28
K% Δ+0.009
Sample85.3 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings65.6----
Batters Faced286----
K%30.0%24.7% to 37.5%+/- 6.4%
BB%10.6%7.4% to 13.8%+/- 3.2%
Whiff%26.6%21.9% to 32.7%+/- 5.4%
HR/91.000.04 to 1.43+/- 0.70
xwOBA Against0.2750.232 to 0.319+/- 0.043
Barrel% Allowed6.8%3.4% to 9.8%+/- 3.2%
ERA3.622.73 to 6.20+/- 1.73
FIP2.951.28 to 4.26+/- 1.49
WHIP1.3211.060 to 1.648+/- 0.294
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

90 career BF

xwOBA0.225
K%26.9%
BB%10.9%
Barrel5.1%
vs RHH

68 career BF

xwOBA0.223
K%27.3%
BB%7.5%
Barrel5.5%