Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.19 |
| ERA current pace | 1.57 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 2.88 |
| Observed weight | 50% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 58.9% | 519 | 107 | qualified |
| SL | 28.9% | 255 | 100 | qualified |
| CH | 10.8% | 95 | 101 | limited sample |
| SI | 1.4% | 12 | 104 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -2.41 |
| K% Δ | +0.039 |
| Sample | 57.7 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 68.4 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 305 | -- | -- |
| K% | 24.8% | 19.2% to 30.8% | +/- 5.8% |
| BB% | 8.1% | 5.9% to 10.8% | +/- 2.5% |
| Whiff% | 23.9% | 20.2% to 29.5% | +/- 4.7% |
| HR/9 | 1.33 | 0.98 to 2.42 | +/- 0.72 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.318 | 0.286 to 0.368 | +/- 0.041 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 9.1% | 6.6% to 13.7% | +/- 3.5% |
| ERA | 3.98 | 2.59 to 6.33 | +/- 1.87 |
| FIP | 3.62 | 2.73 to 5.01 | +/- 1.14 |
| WHIP | 1.260 | 1.028 to 1.611 | +/- 0.291 |
| xwOBA | 0.296 |
| K% | 23.8% |
| BB% | 6.5% |
| Barrel | 9.7% |
| xwOBA | 0.327 |
| K% | 22.9% |
| BB% | 8.2% |
| Barrel | 11.0% |
