Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / TOR · 2026

Fluharty, Mason

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
26.0% K%
Range
20.2% to 34.3%
Live Δ
yes
Team TOR Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 25 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-02
ERA preseason4.32
ERA current pace4.58
ERA rolling p504.39
Observed weight30%
ERA
2.69 3.50 4.39 5.29 6.10
FIP
2.58 3.05 3.58 4.11 4.58
K%
22.5% 25.0% 27.8% 30.6% 33.1%
BB%
6.7% 8.2% 9.8% 11.3% 12.8%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-02
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%8.9%
46 +16 vs proj
Barrel allowed5.2%
81 +44 vs proj
Hard-hit allowed31.0%
91
K%32.7%
95 +20 vs proj
Whiff%26.9%
77
xwOBA allowed0.226
98 +48 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-02
Mithrandir Stuff+102
51
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 51%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

10 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Fluharty, Mason · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-23: 0.2262026-05-24: 0.2262026-05-25: 0.2312026-05-26: 0.2282026-05-28: 0.2372026-05-29: 0.2372026-05-30: 0.2372026-05-31: 0.2342026-06-01: 0.2262026-06-02: 0.226 2026-05-23 2026-06-02 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Fluharty, Mason · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 27%27%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 54%54%Hard hit allowed: 31%31% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Fluharty, Mason · 2026 arsenal snapshot Cutter: 51.4%Sweeper: 39.4%Changeup: 9.1% MIX FC 51%ST 39%CH 9% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Fluharty, Mason · 2026 arsenal snapshot FC: HB 0.1, IVB 1.8FCST: HB -0.5, IVB 3.3STCH: HB -0.8, IVB 2.6CH horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FC 51.6% 192 101 limited sample
SL 41.1% 153 104 limited sample
CH 7.3% 27 99 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Plays better against lefties right now (0.240 vs 0.268 xwOBA allowed split).
2
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Cutter 57%, Sweeper 43%, Sinker 0%.
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+0.57
K% Δ+0.067
Sample23.7 IP
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings35.0----
Batters Faced152----
K%26.0%20.2% to 34.3%+/- 7.1%
BB%10.3%6.7% to 14.7%+/- 4.0%
Whiff%28.4%21.4% to 34.5%+/- 6.5%
HR/91.230.23 to 2.03+/- 0.90
xwOBA Against0.3130.234 to 0.359+/- 0.062
Barrel% Allowed8.7%3.4% to 14.9%+/- 5.8%
ERA4.012.64 to 7.10+/- 2.23
FIP4.102.71 to 5.33+/- 1.31
WHIP1.3731.023 to 1.762+/- 0.369
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

124 career BF

xwOBA0.240
K%26.4%
BB%9.1%
Barrel8.6%
vs RHH

141 career BF

xwOBA0.268
K%21.8%
BB%9.4%
Barrel11.7%