Gusto, Ryan
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.69 |
| ERA current pace | 0.00 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.63 |
| Observed weight | 1% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2025 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 41.7% | 5 | 110 | limited sample |
| FB | 33.3% | 4 | 123 | limited sample |
| SI | 16.7% | 2 | 114 | limited sample |
| FC | 8.3% | 1 | 84 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 67.9 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 304 | -- | -- |
| K% | 21.5% | 16.6% to 27.6% | +/- 5.5% |
| BB% | 8.1% | 5.5% to 10.8% | +/- 2.6% |
| Whiff% | 21.5% | 18.7% to 27.4% | +/- 4.4% |
| HR/9 | 1.33 | 0.84 to 2.15 | +/- 0.65 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.333 | 0.268 to 0.360 | +/- 0.046 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.8% | 4.2% to 11.9% | +/- 3.8% |
| ERA | 4.66 | 3.18 to 6.83 | +/- 1.83 |
| FIP | 4.34 | 2.99 to 4.98 | +/- 0.99 |
| WHIP | 1.318 | 1.077 to 1.681 | +/- 0.302 |
244 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.297 |
| K% | 18.7% |
| BB% | 8.3% |
| Barrel | 10.1% |
223 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.257 |
| K% | 19.1% |
| BB% | 6.0% |
| Barrel | 6.9% |