Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / MIA · 2026

Blalock, Bradley

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
15.9% K%
Range
9.5% to 21.6%
Live Δ
--
Team MIA Archetype Volatile contact Age 26 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
67
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal5 metrics
67
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason5.00
ERA current pace3.00
ERA rolling p504.69
Observed weight15%
ERA
2.29 3.43 4.69 5.96 7.10
FIP
3.44 4.05 4.73 5.41 6.02
K%
12.0% 14.5% 17.3% 20.1% 22.6%
BB%
5.6% 6.7% 8.0% 9.3% 10.4%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-26
Curveball Stuff+102
46
Fastball Stuff+101
45
Mithrandir Stuff+107
91
Sinker Stuff+103
55
Slider Stuff+112
99
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

7Pitches 2026Season 25%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Blalock, Bradley · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 35%35%Zone: 54%54%Whiff: 17%17%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 67%67%Hard hit allowed: 32%32% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Blalock, Bradley · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 25.3%Slider: 16.7%Split-Finger: 16.1%Curveball: 15.1%Cutter: 10.8%Sweeper: 10.8% FF25% · 96 mphprimary pitch FF 25%SL 17%FS 16%CU 15%FC 11%ST 11% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Blalock, Bradley · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 25% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 95.5 mphFF96 mphSlider: 17% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 87.7 mphSL88 mphSplit-Finger: 16% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 89.2 mphFS89 mphCurveball: 15% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 52″ drop, 83.4 mphCU83 mphCutter: 11% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 92.3 mphFC92 mphSweeper: 11% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 85.6 mphST86 mphSinker: 5% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 95.0 mphSI95 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 38.7% 48 112 limited sample
FB 29.8% 37 101 limited sample
CB 19.4% 24 102 limited sample
SI 8.1% 10 103 limited sample
FC 4.0% 5 106 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 47%, Slider 16%, Split-Finger 15%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings67.7----
Batters Faced316----
K%15.9%9.5% to 21.6%+/- 6.0%
BB%8.5%5.8% to 11.2%+/- 2.7%
Whiff%18.6%14.7% to 23.4%+/- 4.3%
HR/91.510.70 to 2.15+/- 0.73
xwOBA Against0.3340.270 to 0.368+/- 0.049
Barrel% Allowed8.5%6.0% to 12.5%+/- 3.3%
ERA5.812.27 to 7.86+/- 2.79
FIP4.723.49 to 6.49+/- 1.50
WHIP1.4351.124 to 1.711+/- 0.293
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

252 career BF

xwOBA0.323
K%9.9%
BB%8.6%
Barrel8.7%
vs RHH

197 career BF

xwOBA0.314
K%11.7%
BB%6.3%
Barrel9.3%