Henriquez, Edgardo
Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.42 |
| ERA current pace | 3.26 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.38 |
| Observed weight | 27% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 35.0% | 112 | 97 | limited sample |
| SI | 28.7% | 92 | 104 | limited sample |
| SL | 26.9% | 86 | 102 | limited sample |
| FC | 9.4% | 30 | 105 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
| ERA Δ | -0.61 |
| K% Δ | -0.010 |
| Sample | 22.7 IP |
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 31.9 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 144 | -- | -- |
| K% | 21.9% | 13.7% to 29.2% | +/- 7.7% |
| BB% | 10.3% | 6.5% to 15.3% | +/- 4.4% |
| Whiff% | 23.7% | 19.2% to 31.4% | +/- 6.1% |
| HR/9 | 1.03 | 0.52 to 2.35 | +/- 0.91 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.309 | 0.234 to 0.357 | +/- 0.061 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.7% | 2.8% to 14.7% | +/- 6.0% |
| ERA | 3.87 | 0.22 to 5.63 | +/- 2.71 |
| FIP | 4.04 | 2.94 to 5.35 | +/- 1.20 |
| WHIP | 1.323 | 1.024 to 1.785 | +/- 0.381 |
44 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.259 |
| K% | 15.9% |
| BB% | 10.6% |
| Barrel | 11.0% |
90 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.244 |
| K% | 15.8% |
| BB% | 9.5% |
| Barrel | 8.9% |