Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / LAD · 2026

Henriquez, Edgardo

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
21.9% K%
Range
13.7% to 29.2%
Live Δ
yes
Team LAD Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 24 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
75
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
82
Arsenal5 metrics
59
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason3.42
ERA current pace2.29
ERA rolling p502.97
Observed weight40%
ERA
1.02 1.94 2.97 4.00 4.93
FIP
2.77 3.18 3.64 4.10 4.51
K%
17.3% 19.6% 22.2% 24.8% 27.2%
BB%
7.0% 8.4% 9.9% 11.4% 12.8%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP0.93
94
ERA2.29
91
BB%9.4%
40
K%23.3%
56
xwOBA allowed0.246
97 +43 vs proj
Barrel allowed2.9%
97 +47 vs proj
Fastball velo100.7
100
Hard-hit allowed27.9%
97
Whiff%24.8%
64
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-07-16
Cutter Stuff+106
89
Fastball Stuff+98
22
Mithrandir Stuff+103
58
Sinker Stuff+105
76
Slider Stuff+102
52
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 32%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Henriquez, Edgardo · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.246 2026-07-05: 0.2422026-07-06: 0.2422026-07-07: 0.2422026-07-08: 0.2482026-07-09: 0.2482026-07-10: 0.2462026-07-11: 0.2462026-07-12: 0.2432026-07-13: 0.2432026-07-14: 0.2462026-07-15: 0.2462026-07-16: 0.246 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Henriquez, Edgardo · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 44%44%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 13%13%First pitch strike: 46%46%Hard hit allowed: 28%28% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Henriquez, Edgardo · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 32.1%Sinker: 27.9%Slider: 23.2%Cutter: 11.7%Curveball: 5.2% FF32% · 101 mphprimary pitch FF 32%SI 28%SL 23%FC 12%CU 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Henriquez, Edgardo · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 32% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 100.5 mphFF101 mphSinker: 28% usage, 15″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 100.8 mphSI101 mphSlider: 23% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 88.0 mphSL88 mphCutter: 12% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 94.8 mphFC95 mphCurveball: 5% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 53″ drop, 82.5 mphCU83 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 35.5% 138 98 limited sample
SI 28.0% 109 105 limited sample
SL 26.2% 102 102 limited sample
FC 9.3% 36 106 limited sample
CB 1.0% 4 85 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Home park slightly inflates the home-run risk band.
pitcher
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 33%, Sinker 27%, Cutter 16%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-1.58
K% Δ+0.014
Sample40.7 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings31.2----
Batters Faced140----
K%21.9%13.7% to 29.2%+/- 7.7%
BB%10.3%6.5% to 15.3%+/- 4.4%
Whiff%23.7%19.2% to 31.4%+/- 6.1%
HR/91.030.52 to 2.35+/- 0.91
xwOBA Against0.3090.234 to 0.357+/- 0.061
Barrel% Allowed7.7%2.8% to 14.7%+/- 6.0%
ERA3.870.22 to 5.63+/- 2.71
FIP4.042.94 to 5.35+/- 1.20
WHIP1.3231.024 to 1.786+/- 0.381
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

44 career BF

xwOBA0.259
K%15.9%
BB%10.6%
Barrel11.0%
vs RHH

90 career BF

xwOBA0.244
K%15.8%
BB%9.5%
Barrel8.9%