Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / LAD · 2026

Henriquez, Edgardo

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
21.9% K%
Range
13.7% to 29.2%
Live Δ
yes
Team LAD Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 24 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.42
ERA current pace3.26
ERA rolling p503.38
Observed weight27%
ERA
1.28 2.27 3.38 4.48 5.48
FIP
3.01 3.45 3.94 4.44 4.88
K%
15.5% 18.3% 21.4% 24.4% 27.2%
BB%
6.7% 8.3% 10.1% 11.9% 13.5%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%9.9%
34
Barrel allowed3.3%
93 +42 vs proj
Fastball velo100.4
100
Hard-hit allowed32.8%
84
K%20.9%
39
Whiff%22.5%
46
xwOBA allowed0.270
85 +30 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+102
56
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 34%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

10 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Henriquez, Edgardo · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-21: 0.2642026-05-23: 0.2562026-05-24: 0.2562026-05-25: 0.2562026-05-26: 0.2562026-05-28: 0.2562026-05-29: 0.2562026-05-30: 0.2562026-05-31: 0.2672026-06-01: 0.270 2026-05-21 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Henriquez, Edgardo · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 40%40%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 14%14%First pitch strike: 46%46%Hard hit allowed: 33%33% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Henriquez, Edgardo · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 34.4%Sinker: 28.9%Slider: 26.5%Cutter: 10.2% MIX FF 34%SI 29%SL 27%FC 10% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Henriquez, Edgardo · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.4, IVB 1.0FFSI: HB 1.2, IVB 1.3SISL: HB -0.1, IVB 2.9SLFC: HB 0.0, IVB 1.6FC horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 35.0% 112 97 limited sample
SI 28.7% 92 104 limited sample
SL 26.9% 86 102 limited sample
FC 9.4% 30 105 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
2
templated note
Home park slightly inflates the home-run risk band.
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 33%, Sinker 27%, Cutter 16%.
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-0.61
K% Δ-0.010
Sample22.7 IP
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings31.9----
Batters Faced144----
K%21.9%13.7% to 29.2%+/- 7.7%
BB%10.3%6.5% to 15.3%+/- 4.4%
Whiff%23.7%19.2% to 31.4%+/- 6.1%
HR/91.030.52 to 2.35+/- 0.91
xwOBA Against0.3090.234 to 0.357+/- 0.061
Barrel% Allowed7.7%2.8% to 14.7%+/- 6.0%
ERA3.870.22 to 5.63+/- 2.71
FIP4.042.94 to 5.35+/- 1.20
WHIP1.3231.024 to 1.785+/- 0.381
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

44 career BF

xwOBA0.259
K%15.9%
BB%10.6%
Barrel11.0%
vs RHH

90 career BF

xwOBA0.244
K%15.8%
BB%9.5%
Barrel8.9%