Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / MIL · 2026

Uribe, Abner

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
27.0% K%
Range
21.6% to 36.0%
Live Δ
yes
Team MIL Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 26 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
85
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
83
Arsenal3 metrics
64
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason3.13
ERA current pace2.08
ERA rolling p502.60
Observed weight50%
ERA
1.01 1.77 2.60 3.44 4.19
FIP
1.94 2.43 2.98 3.54 4.03
K%
22.8% 24.7% 26.8% 29.0% 30.9%
BB%
6.6% 7.9% 9.4% 10.8% 12.1%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.02
92
ERA2.08
95
BB%7.9%
64 +36 vs proj
K%26.1%
78
xwOBA allowed0.260
94 +16 vs proj
Barrel allowed1.9%
99 +21 vs proj
Fastball velo98.7
98
Hard-hit allowed36.3%
67
Whiff%23.6%
59 -22 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-26
Mithrandir Stuff+105
76
Sinker Stuff+100
36
Slider Stuff+105
79
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 61%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Uribe, Abner · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.260 2026-09-12: 0.2592026-09-13: 0.2612026-09-14: 0.2612026-09-18: 0.2622026-09-19: 0.2612026-09-20: 0.2612026-09-21: 0.2592026-09-22: 0.2592026-09-23: 0.2592026-09-24: 0.2602026-09-25: 0.2602026-09-26: 0.260 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Uribe, Abner · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 21%21%First pitch strike: 49%49%Hard hit allowed: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Uribe, Abner · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 61.4%Slider: 38.1%Changeup: 0.2%4-Seam Fastball: 0.2% SI61% · 99 mphprimary pitch SI 61%SL 38%CH 0%FF 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Uribe, Abner · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ Sinker: 61% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 98.7 mphSI99 mphSlider: 38% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 87.8 mphSL88 mphChangeup: 0% usage, 16″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 93.3 mphCH93 mph4-Seam Fastball: 0% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 97.9 mphFF98 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 60.4% 342 100 qualified
SL 38.9% 220 105 qualified
CH 0.5% 3 112 limited sample
FB 0.2% 1 115 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Sinker 52%, Slider 46%, 4-Seam Fastball 2%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-1.00
K% Δ-0.009
Sample61.0 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings37.4----
Batters Faced158----
K%27.0%21.6% to 36.0%+/- 7.2%
BB%10.8%6.2% to 16.3%+/- 5.0%
Whiff%26.8%22.8% to 33.6%+/- 5.4%
HR/90.600.18 to 1.49+/- 0.65
xwOBA Against0.2900.215 to 0.342+/- 0.064
Barrel% Allowed5.8%2.5% to 10.1%+/- 3.8%
ERA3.080.67 to 5.17+/- 2.25
FIP3.142.27 to 5.23+/- 1.48
WHIP1.2961.004 to 1.692+/- 0.344
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

232 career BF

xwOBA0.273
K%26.4%
BB%13.1%
Barrel4.0%
vs RHH

326 career BF

xwOBA0.259
K%27.0%
BB%9.0%
Barrel4.6%