Anderson, Grant
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.76 |
| ERA current pace | 2.82 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.48 |
| Observed weight | 29% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 40.8% | 133 | 107 | limited sample |
| SL | 34.7% | 113 | 104 | limited sample |
| SI | 21.8% | 71 | 102 | limited sample |
| CH | 2.8% | 9 | 115 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
| ERA Δ | -1.03 |
| K% Δ | -0.071 |
| Sample | 25.0 IP |
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 38.1 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 166 | -- | -- |
| K% | 25.1% | 17.7% to 31.7% | +/- 7.0% |
| BB% | 9.4% | 6.5% to 14.6% | +/- 4.0% |
| Whiff% | 26.3% | 21.1% to 32.9% | +/- 5.9% |
| HR/9 | 1.32 | 0.53 to 2.57 | +/- 1.02 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.308 | 0.256 to 0.362 | +/- 0.053 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.4% | 3.9% to 10.9% | +/- 3.5% |
| ERA | 3.85 | 1.75 to 6.38 | +/- 2.31 |
| FIP | 4.12 | 2.71 to 6.94 | +/- 2.12 |
| WHIP | 1.263 | 1.047 to 1.706 | +/- 0.330 |
221 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.309 |
| K% | 22.0% |
| BB% | 12.1% |
| Barrel | 7.7% |
390 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.283 |
| K% | 22.1% |
| BB% | 8.0% |
| Barrel | 6.3% |