Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.50 |
| ERA current pace | 3.28 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.83 |
| Observed weight | 55% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 31.5% | 307 | 104 | qualified |
| FC | 24.7% | 241 | 104 | qualified |
| SI | 13.2% | 129 | 105 | limited sample |
| CB | 12.0% | 117 | 104 | limited sample |
| SL | 9.9% | 97 | 105 | limited sample |
| CH | 8.6% | 84 | 101 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -1.80 |
| K% Δ | +0.028 |
| Sample | 68.3 IP |
negative regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 72.0 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 317 | -- | -- |
| K% | 16.3% | 13.1% to 20.6% | +/- 3.8% |
| BB% | 8.2% | 5.6% to 10.6% | +/- 2.5% |
| Whiff% | 16.6% | 13.7% to 21.5% | +/- 3.9% |
| HR/9 | 1.55 | 0.72 to 1.91 | +/- 0.59 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.363 | 0.292 to 0.388 | +/- 0.048 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.8% | 6.4% to 12.4% | +/- 3.0% |
| ERA | 5.08 | 2.50 to 6.08 | +/- 1.79 |
| FIP | 4.89 | 3.26 to 5.68 | +/- 1.21 |
| WHIP | 1.425 | 1.118 to 1.648 | +/- 0.265 |
| xwOBA | 0.348 |
| K% | 12.4% |
| BB% | 9.3% |
| Barrel | 9.6% |
| xwOBA | 0.305 |
| K% | 15.4% |
| BB% | 6.5% |
| Barrel | 8.6% |
