Vodnik, Victor
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.84 |
| ERA current pace | 8.00 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 5.06 |
| Observed weight | 29% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 48.5% | 163 | 99 | limited sample |
| SL | 24.4% | 82 | 99 | limited sample |
| CH | 18.8% | 63 | 94 | limited sample |
| SI | 5.1% | 17 | 100 | limited sample |
| FC | 3.3% | 11 | 113 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 38.6 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 171 | -- | -- |
| K% | 22.8% | 17.1% to 31.0% | +/- 7.0% |
| BB% | 10.4% | 5.6% to 15.4% | +/- 4.9% |
| Whiff% | 23.9% | 18.1% to 30.7% | +/- 6.3% |
| HR/9 | 1.09 | 0.34 to 1.93 | +/- 0.79 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.329 | 0.252 to 0.388 | +/- 0.068 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.6% | 3.7% to 12.0% | +/- 4.2% |
| ERA | 4.19 | 1.20 to 6.43 | +/- 2.61 |
| FIP | 4.20 | 2.53 to 6.23 | +/- 1.85 |
| WHIP | 1.400 | 1.086 to 1.842 | +/- 0.378 |
290 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.327 |
| K% | 18.2% |
| BB% | 13.5% |
| Barrel | 7.9% |
341 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.295 |
| K% | 21.7% |
| BB% | 8.4% |
| Barrel | 7.3% |