Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / TOR · 2026

Fisher, Braydon

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
26.2% K%
Range
24.3% to 35.2%
Live Δ
yes
Team TOR Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 26 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.88
ERA current pace2.64
ERA rolling p503.44
Observed weight35%
ERA
2.43 2.91 3.44 3.97 4.45
FIP
2.88 3.19 3.53 3.87 4.17
K%
24.2% 26.1% 28.2% 30.2% 32.1%
BB%
7.0% 8.1% 9.3% 10.5% 11.6%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%9.2%
43
Barrel allowed10.0%
25 -23 vs proj
Fastball velo94.7
56
Hard-hit allowed38.8%
53
K%27.5%
82
Whiff%26.7%
76
xwOBA allowed0.297
66
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+104
66
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 50%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Fisher, Braydon · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.3152026-05-19: 0.3152026-05-21: 0.3292026-05-23: 0.3202026-05-24: 0.3172026-05-25: 0.3122026-05-26: 0.3122026-05-28: 0.3032026-05-29: 0.3032026-05-30: 0.2992026-05-31: 0.2972026-06-01: 0.297 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Fisher, Braydon · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 27%27%Called strike: 21%21%First pitch strike: 54%54%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Fisher, Braydon · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 49.5%Curveball: 28.5%4-Seam Fastball: 16.6%Cutter: 5.4% MIX SL 50%CU 29%FF 17%FC 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Fisher, Braydon · 2026 arsenal snapshot SL: HB -0.0, IVB 2.5SLCU: HB 0.1, IVB 4.5CUFF: HB 0.0, IVB 1.1FFFC: HB -0.1, IVB 1.7FC horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 48.9% 231 106 qualified
CB 28.4% 134 106 limited sample
FB 16.7% 79 96 limited sample
FC 5.9% 28 100 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park slightly inflates the home-run risk band.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Slider 39%, Curveball 36%, 4-Seam Fastball 21%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-1.15
K% Δ+0.013
Sample34.0 IP

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings67.1----
Batters Faced284----
K%26.2%24.3% to 35.2%+/- 5.5%
BB%9.2%6.5% to 12.7%+/- 3.1%
Whiff%24.3%21.6% to 31.1%+/- 4.7%
HR/91.350.75 to 1.90+/- 0.57
xwOBA Against0.3070.280 to 0.336+/- 0.028
Barrel% Allowed7.9%5.4% to 10.5%+/- 2.6%
ERA3.792.30 to 5.04+/- 1.37
FIP3.712.92 to 4.67+/- 0.87
WHIP1.3091.074 to 1.612+/- 0.269
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

103 career BF

xwOBA0.261
K%27.2%
BB%10.4%
Barrel7.2%
vs RHH

132 career BF

xwOBA0.254
K%26.0%
BB%7.2%
Barrel6.7%