Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / TOR · 2026

Fisher, Braydon

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
26.2% K%
Range
24.3% to 35.2%
Live Δ
yes
Team TOR Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 26 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
52
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
50
Arsenal5 metrics
51
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason3.88
ERA current pace3.25
ERA rolling p503.52
Observed weight57%
ERA
2.54 3.01 3.52 4.04 4.50
FIP
3.46 3.75 4.08 4.41 4.70
K%
23.1% 24.5% 26.1% 27.6% 29.0%
BB%
9.7% 10.6% 11.6% 12.6% 13.6%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.25
63
ERA3.25
77
BB%13.4%
9 -38 vs proj
K%24.2%
66
xwOBA allowed0.317
46
Barrel allowed9.4%
20 -23 vs proj
Fastball velo94.3
49
Hard-hit allowed39.3%
44
Whiff%26.0%
75
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-26
Curveball Stuff+105
89
Mithrandir Stuff+102
53
Slider Stuff+104
68
Cutter Stuff+99
30
Fastball Stuff+96
17
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 49%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Fisher, Braydon · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.317 2026-09-12: 0.3102026-09-13: 0.3102026-09-14: 0.3092026-09-18: 0.3112026-09-19: 0.3172026-09-20: 0.3172026-09-21: 0.3172026-09-22: 0.3172026-09-23: 0.3172026-09-24: 0.3172026-09-25: 0.3172026-09-26: 0.317 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Fisher, Braydon · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 43%43%Whiff: 26%26%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 48%48%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Fisher, Braydon · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 48.7%Curveball: 29.4%4-Seam Fastball: 19.3%Cutter: 2.5%Sinker: 0.2% SL49% · 88 mphprimary pitch SL 49%CU 29%FF 19%FC 2%SI 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Fisher, Braydon · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Slider: 49% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 88.1 mphSL88 mphCurveball: 29% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 54″ drop, 81.3 mphCU81 mph4-Seam Fastball: 19% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 94.4 mphFF94 mphCutter: 2% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 20″ drop, 92.6 mphFC93 mphSinker: 0% usage, 13″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 93.4 mphSI93 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 47.5% 373 104 qualified
CB 28.5% 224 105 qualified
FB 20.2% 159 96 limited sample
FC 3.8% 30 99 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park slightly inflates the home-run risk band.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Slider 39%, Curveball 36%, 4-Seam Fastball 21%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-0.54
K% Δ-0.020
Sample75.0 IP

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings67.8----
Batters Faced287----
K%26.2%24.3% to 35.2%+/- 5.5%
BB%9.2%6.5% to 12.7%+/- 3.1%
Whiff%24.3%21.6% to 31.1%+/- 4.7%
HR/91.350.75 to 1.90+/- 0.57
xwOBA Against0.3070.280 to 0.336+/- 0.028
Barrel% Allowed7.9%5.4% to 10.5%+/- 2.6%
ERA3.792.30 to 5.04+/- 1.37
FIP3.712.92 to 4.67+/- 0.87
WHIP1.3091.075 to 1.612+/- 0.269
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

103 career BF

xwOBA0.261
K%27.2%
BB%10.4%
Barrel7.2%
vs RHH

132 career BF

xwOBA0.254
K%26.0%
BB%7.2%
Barrel6.7%