Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / TOR · 2026

Fisher, Braydon

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
26.2% K%
Range
24.3% to 35.2%
Live Δ
yes
Team TOR Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 26 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
60
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
53
Arsenal5 metrics
57
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason3.88
ERA current pace3.45
ERA rolling p503.68
Observed weight45%
ERA
2.71 3.17 3.68 4.20 4.66
FIP
3.34 3.63 3.96 4.29 4.58
K%
23.8% 25.5% 27.3% 29.2% 30.8%
BB%
8.0% 9.0% 10.2% 11.3% 12.3%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.12
80
ERA3.45
66
BB%11.2%
24 -19 vs proj
K%25.9%
73
xwOBA allowed0.304
60
Barrel allowed12.4%
6 -40 vs proj
Fastball velo94.8
54
Hard-hit allowed39.7%
45
Whiff%25.3%
69
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-07-16
Mithrandir Stuff+104
65
Slider Stuff+106
82
Curveball Stuff+105
91
Cutter Stuff+99
30
Fastball Stuff+96
15
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 50%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Fisher, Braydon · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.304 2026-07-05: 0.3112026-07-06: 0.3062026-07-07: 0.3062026-07-08: 0.3062026-07-09: 0.3062026-07-10: 0.3062026-07-11: 0.3062026-07-12: 0.3062026-07-13: 0.3042026-07-14: 0.3042026-07-15: 0.3042026-07-16: 0.304 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Fisher, Braydon · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 20%20%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Fisher, Braydon · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 49.9%Curveball: 28.8%4-Seam Fastball: 17.4%Cutter: 3.8% SL50% · 89 mphprimary pitch SL 50%CU 29%FF 17%FC 4% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Fisher, Braydon · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Slider: 50% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 88.6 mphSL89 mphCurveball: 29% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 53″ drop, 81.6 mphCU82 mph4-Seam Fastball: 17% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 94.8 mphFF95 mphCutter: 4% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 92.6 mphFC93 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 48.9% 245 106 qualified
CB 28.3% 142 105 limited sample
FB 17.0% 85 96 limited sample
FC 5.8% 29 99 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park slightly inflates the home-run risk band.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Slider 39%, Curveball 36%, 4-Seam Fastball 21%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-0.34
K% Δ-0.003
Sample48.3 IP

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings66.8----
Batters Faced283----
K%26.2%24.3% to 35.2%+/- 5.5%
BB%9.2%6.5% to 12.7%+/- 3.1%
Whiff%24.3%21.6% to 31.1%+/- 4.7%
HR/91.350.75 to 1.90+/- 0.57
xwOBA Against0.3070.280 to 0.336+/- 0.028
Barrel% Allowed7.9%5.4% to 10.5%+/- 2.6%
ERA3.792.30 to 5.04+/- 1.37
FIP3.712.92 to 4.67+/- 0.87
WHIP1.3091.074 to 1.612+/- 0.269
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

103 career BF

xwOBA0.261
K%27.2%
BB%10.4%
Barrel7.2%
vs RHH

132 career BF

xwOBA0.254
K%26.0%
BB%7.2%
Barrel6.7%