Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.75 |
| ERA current pace | 5.33 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.96 |
| Observed weight | 37% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 55.1% | 236 | 103 | qualified |
| FB | 30.4% | 130 | 96 | limited sample |
| CB | 14.5% | 62 | 103 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +0.12 |
| K% Δ | +0.078 |
| Sample | 33.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 75.6 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 331 | -- | -- |
| K% | 16.5% | 13.8% to 22.5% | +/- 4.3% |
| BB% | 7.9% | 5.5% to 10.1% | +/- 2.3% |
| Whiff% | 19.2% | 17.2% to 25.1% | +/- 3.9% |
| HR/9 | 1.52 | 0.91 to 2.03 | +/- 0.56 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.370 | 0.309 to 0.370 | +/- 0.030 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.9% | 6.8% to 12.1% | +/- 2.7% |
| ERA | 5.21 | 3.19 to 6.44 | +/- 1.63 |
| FIP | 4.77 | 3.56 to 5.27 | +/- 0.85 |
| WHIP | 1.438 | 1.128 to 1.663 | +/- 0.267 |
| xwOBA | 0.305 |
| K% | 17.0% |
| BB% | 7.8% |
| Barrel | 7.0% |
| xwOBA | 0.338 |
| K% | 15.3% |
| BB% | 7.0% |
| Barrel | 9.4% |
