Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / BAL · 2026

Bradish, Kyle

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
26.9% K%
Range
23.1% to 34.6%
Live Δ
yes
Team BAL Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 30 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
47
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
50
Arsenal5 metrics
53
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason3.42
ERA current pace3.61
ERA rolling p503.55
Observed weight67%
ERA
2.41 2.95 3.55 4.14 4.68
FIP
3.32 3.58 3.87 4.15 4.41
K%
22.1% 23.3% 24.6% 25.9% 27.1%
BB%
8.5% 9.2% 10.0% 10.8% 11.5%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.38
40
ERA3.61
58
BB%11.1%
24 -32 vs proj
K%22.9%
52 -26 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.303
62
Barrel allowed7.8%
47
Fastball velo94.4
50
Hard-hit allowed37.0%
63
Whiff%24.1%
58
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-07-16
Curveball Stuff+103
65
Fastball Stuff+102
44
Mithrandir Stuff+103
57
Sinker Stuff+99
26
Slider Stuff+105
75
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 33%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Bradish, Kyle · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.303 2026-07-05: 0.3102026-07-06: 0.3102026-07-07: 0.3062026-07-08: 0.3062026-07-09: 0.3062026-07-10: 0.3062026-07-11: 0.3062026-07-12: 0.3062026-07-13: 0.3032026-07-14: 0.3032026-07-15: 0.3032026-07-16: 0.303 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Bradish, Kyle · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 34%34%Zone: 43%43%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 43%43%Hard hit allowed: 37%37% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Bradish, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 33.4%Slider: 26.8%Curveball: 21.9%4-Seam Fastball: 18.0% SI33% · 95 mphprimary pitch SI 33%SL 27%CU 22%FF 18% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Bradish, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Sinker: 33% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 94.7 mphSI95 mphSlider: 27% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 87.3 mphSL87 mphCurveball: 22% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 52″ drop, 84.6 mphCU85 mph4-Seam Fastball: 18% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 94.0 mphFF94 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 31.4% 384 99 qualified
SL 27.6% 338 105 qualified
CB 22.4% 274 103 qualified
FB 18.6% 227 102 qualified
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Sinker 33%, Slider 32%, 4-Seam Fastball 23%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+0.19
K% Δ-0.040
Sample110.3 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings65.8----
Batters Faced266----
K%26.9%23.1% to 34.6%+/- 5.8%
BB%8.3%5.4% to 10.8%+/- 2.7%
Whiff%25.8%21.9% to 30.8%+/- 4.5%
HR/91.130.52 to 1.66+/- 0.57
xwOBA Against0.2970.259 to 0.324+/- 0.032
Barrel% Allowed8.0%5.4% to 10.7%+/- 2.7%
ERA3.421.86 to 4.94+/- 1.54
FIP3.382.32 to 3.77+/- 0.73
WHIP1.1670.965 to 1.402+/- 0.219
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

662 career BF

xwOBA0.285
K%26.8%
BB%8.6%
Barrel7.7%
vs RHH

884 career BF

xwOBA0.267
K%26.3%
BB%6.1%
Barrel6.9%