Run-prevention profile built on workable command
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.42 |
| ERA current pace | 5.90 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.40 |
| Observed weight | 39% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 67.8% | 225 | 100 | qualified |
| SL | 30.4% | 101 | 101 | limited sample |
| SI | 1.8% | 6 | 91 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +1.80 |
| K% Δ | -0.078 |
| Sample | 31.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 33.4 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 143 | -- | -- |
| K% | 23.3% | 16.6% to 33.0% | +/- 8.2% |
| BB% | 10.6% | 7.0% to 14.9% | +/- 4.0% |
| Whiff% | 27.0% | 22.0% to 34.7% | +/- 6.3% |
| HR/9 | 1.14 | 0.60 to 2.30 | +/- 0.85 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.296 | 0.234 to 0.339 | +/- 0.052 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.8% | 3.5% to 11.9% | +/- 4.2% |
| ERA | 4.10 | 2.12 to 6.14 | +/- 2.01 |
| FIP | 4.12 | 2.89 to 5.25 | +/- 1.18 |
| WHIP | 1.304 | 0.947 to 1.674 | +/- 0.364 |
| xwOBA | 0.278 |
| K% | 19.5% |
| BB% | 10.8% |
| Barrel | 8.0% |
| xwOBA | 0.260 |
| K% | 23.1% |
| BB% | 8.1% |
| Barrel | 7.4% |
